ShareThis morning, I ran across a post by Prieur du Plessis, which linked out to a Stephen Roach interview on Charlie Rose.
Roach is the head of Morgan Stanley Asia and has been a voice to listen to when trying to discern where China is headed and how its relationship with the United States will develop. [...]

ShareStephen Roach doesn’t mince words.  He calls monetary policy during the bubble years “reckless and irresponsible” and he thinks politics is thwarting any meaningful regulatory reform, a view I also hold. I think the point of Roach’s attack is that a lot of finger-pointing has been directed at Wall Street and even Main Street. But, [...]

ShareNouriel Roubini is the most prominent economist to warn that a double-dip recession would be a distinct possibility if economic policy-makers return to policy normalization too quickly.  Now, Stephen Roach, head of Morgan Stanley Asia, is making similar arguments. 
Roach was on Bloomberg Radio’s show Bloomberg Surveillance with Tom Keene and Ken Pruitt yesterday, where [...]

ShareThe US is not the only place where a double dip downturn is to be feared.  China has its own economic imbalances to deal with.  Too much money is being thrown at the problem creating malinvestment and a bubble economy, shares having doubled this year alone.
Stephen Roach thinks much of the stimulus money in China [...]

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Here’s a nice clip from Stephen Roach from last week asking “where’s the demand?” 
His thesis is pretty simple:  we have an inventory-induced upturn that might actually show positive GDP growth in the U.S. for Q3, what I have termed the mother of all inventory corrections.  But, that’s it.  Underneath this is no discernible pickup [...]

Recently, I have highlighted the comments of a number of investing gurus, most of whom are fairly positive on the market. This includes Jeremy Grantham, Marc Faber, Bill Fleckenstein, Fred Hickey, Marty Fridson and Steven Leuthold (Louise Yamada is a notable exception). However, when it comes to the global economy, the situation is much murkier, the likes of David Rosenberg at Merrill Lynch/BofA have made the case for continued economic weakness in the United States.

The standard bearer of the global-economy-is-weak-and-needs-rebalancing theme is Stephen Roach. And he is not a tad bullish on the global economy.

ShareMorgan Stanley Asia head Stephen Roach believes that Asia will weather the economic storm with a less severe downturn than the West. However, as the economies are predominantly export-led, he also believes that the countries are followers, not leaders. Translation: Asia will recover more slowly.
Asia will have a less acute impact from the global [...]

With the global economy n recession and inflation headed toward zero, government bonds are looking like the best place to put ones money. As a result, we have seen yields on these assets drop to incredibly low levels in the world’s largest developed economies as their prices have increased.

Treasury securities. They may show all the hallmarks of a bubble. But does that mean that the bubble will end now? Here’s what Stephen Roach says.

Stephen Roach must feel a certain sense of Schadenfreude because he has been warning since the end of the Technology Bubble that U.S. monetary policy was reckless and would end in a very bad way. The bubble reached heights few anticipated, making Roach seem like a Cassandra for a number of years. However, now that the bubble has burst and his economic predictions have proven right, we would be well advised to listen to him regarding where the global economy is now headed.

ShareThe Financial Times caught up with two great economic pundits in Jim Grant and Stephen Roach. Below are links to six video interviews by the FT with these two gentlemen (three each). They should be enlightening regarding the global credit crisis, the U.S. bailout and financial markets and the global economy more generally.VideosSep [...]