ShareThis is the second straight month that the RBA has raised interest rates. From the Sydney Morning Herald:
The Reserve Bank has lifted its key interest rate for a second month in a row as it attempts to keep Australia’s economy on track for sustained growth.
Today’s widely tipped 25-basis-point increase raises the central bank’s cash rate [...]
interest rates's tag archives
Reserve Bank of Australia lifts rates again
Nov
Portugal and Greece downgrades have silver lining in the reach for yield
Oct
ShareYesterday, Moody’s cut the outlook for the sovereign debt of Portugal and put Greece on negative watch for a downgrade, signaling growing concern over spiraling debts. Just as with Spain and Ireland which I discussed yesterday, Portugal and Greece are smaller countries within the Eurozone with large fiscal problems due to the recession. For example, [...]
Norway makes three
Oct
ShareThe Norwegian central bank has hiked rates 25 basis points, making it the third central bank and first European central bank to do so since the global recovery process started.
The Financial Times says:
Norway’s central bank increased its key interest rate by a quarter point to 1.5 per cent on Wednesday – Europe’s first monetary policy [...]
Is the U.S. dollar carry trade replacing the one in Japanese yen?
Oct
ShareNouriel Roubini seems to think so. In remarks quoted via Bloomberg, he called the enormous increase in asset prices “the mother of all carry trades.”
Investors worldwide are borrowing dollars to buy assets including equities and commodities, fueling “huge” bubbles that may spark another financial crisis, said New York University professor Nouriel Roubini.
“We have the [...]
Back to the future: Rosenberg says it’s like the crisis never happened
Oct
ShareIn today’s morning with Dave article, Gluskin Sheff’s Chief Economist and Strategist says the macro environment makes it look like 2007 all over again – as if the crisis never happened.
It’s like 2008 and early 2009 never happened. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index just hit a 14-month high as the island benefits from Chinese growth, [...]
Currencies pegged to the dollar under pressure to drop peg
Oct
ShareThere is an enormous dichotomy in foreign exchange markets that has wide-ranging implications for the global economy. In Europe, most currencies float freely against the U.S. dollar. In Asia and the Mideast, most do not.
What this has meant in practice is two things. First, as the U.S. dollar has weakened, it has done so [...]
Is the Fed just jawboning?
Oct
ShareI tend to think so. Yesterday, Ben Bernanke made what some media outlets are calling hawkish statements. This, combined with heavy currency intervention by Asian central banks, helped to strengthen the U.S. dollar. However one must ask if there is anything fundamental about these moves.
Just a few days ago, we got a sensational article via [...]
RBA hikes rates 25 basis points in Australia
Oct
ShareThe Reserve Bank of Australia unexpectedly raised rates by 25 basis points to cool down its economy. It will “gradually reduce stimulus” in anticipation of sustained recovery. Australia has probably been the major economy least affected by the global economic slowdown, so one would expect the RBA to be the first major central bank to [...]
Federal Reserve’s Fisher says tightening will be aggressive
Sep
ShareMarshall Auerback pointed out a statement from Dallas Fed Chief Richard Fisher today that is not getting a lot of attention despite its importance. He said:
I expect that when it comes time to tighten monetary policy, my colleagues and I will move with an alacrity that, if needed, will be equal in speed and intensity [...]
The Dollar Carry Trade
Sep
ShareOne other reason to sell the dollar is interest rates. Why not borrow in dollars where interest rates are low and invest elsewhere where yields are high? This is what is known as the carry trade.
In the past decade, the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc were favorites for the carry trade because of their [...]
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