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I have really started to dislike municipal bonds as an asset class. They have seen a huge rally along with almost every other financial asset but the underlying fundamentals are weak because of financial distress at states and municipalities.
Last week, I wrote a first piece on this topic, based on some work by Philip Greenspun [...]
shortselling's tag archives
Chanos says dump munis as distress mounts and ratings attacked
Nov
Gold hits all-time record high
Oct
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Gold hit a record high of $1,044.30 an ounce, beating the previous record of $1,032.35 set back in March and up a monster $26 on the day. The impetus is the crashing dollar, brought down by a report (later denied) that OPEC states and the Chinese were organizing a secret abandonment of the US dollar [...]
Chanos: I warned Brown and Geithner of financial calamity
Sep
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Evidence is now surfacing that Timothy Geithner and Gordon Brown were among policymakers warned in April 2007 of an impending financial crisis. Famed fund manager and shortseller Jim Chanos met with the policy makers at the time, along with several other hedgies during the G-8 Summit in Washington, D.C.
Their worry: an impending financial crisis. Recalling [...]
Geithner to shortsellers: take your profits and go home
Mar
Oppenheimer has a research note out today that calls Tim Geithner an “evil genius.” The genius moniker comes from the steady creep up the capital structure, giving Geithner access to huge pools of money as the Treasury dials for dollars. The evil part has everything to do with the pain this strategy is going to mete out to preferred shareholders and, eventually, bondholders
Mea Culpa: The Fed is not going to buy treasuries
Feb
Judging from recent events, the bond vigilantes are right to suspect that Ben Bernanke is all talk and no action when it comes to keeping long-term rates low. If you recall, I had actually believed the Fed would support bonds because it was concerned about long-term interest rates. This is part of the reason I believed that Treasuries would rise despite being in bubble territory but it looks unlikely.
Massive short covering at VW and massive losses for hedgies
Oct
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I ran across a very disturbing news item today that is getting a lot of press in Germany. Apparently, the leveraged finance community is getting routed at the German Automaker VW. The crux of the situation is that Porsche, which controls VW, upped its stake in the company causing shares to rise. [...]
Jim Chanos: short sellers are heroes
Sep
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I just watched a great clip of an interview Jim Chanos, the famous head of hedge fund Kynikos Associates, did with the FT’s Gillian Tett (Hat tip FT Alphaville). Chanos does a very good job of arguing hat short sellers are being unfairly victimized by government. Basically, he and other hedge fund managers [...]
Everyone wants in on the short sell ban list
Sep
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Firms are being added left and right to the list of companies that cannot be sold short due to the market meltdown. GM, GE and Ford wanted in. Blackrock now has in too. If there is one feature about the new crisis protections put in place by the Fed, the SEC and [...]
Australia bans short selling too
Sep
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It seems incredible – this rollback of the free markets. But, six countries have now banned short sellers of financial shares as if they are solely responsible for the market meltdown we suffered in the wake of the Lehman bankruptcy. The latest to join in the curbs is Australia.
The country has yet to [...]
Definition of the day: the law of unintended consequences
Sep
Given the fact that the regulatory authorities in the U.S. and the UK have taken the unusually manipulative step of banning all short sales of financial institutions outright, it bears remembering that all actions have consequences, both intended and unintended.
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- ““It’s hard to believe that after blowing up so many bubbles over the past couple years, the Fed is managing to blow yet another bubble...
Thirty-year Treasury bonds are yielding about 2.5 percent. You would have to assume that over the next 30 years there will be no inflation problem..
Given the expansionary fiscal and monetary policy of the United States, “there will be a time when inflation accelerates along with a weak dollar...
When that happens, central banks will have to increases interest rates, which will be difficult to implement.”
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