The US Department of Agriculture highlights how the United States in the last decade, despite increased aggregate wealth, slid back significantly in terms of food insecurity as measure of poverty. With everyone now focused on the unemployment situation, it bears noting that even before the downturn in the economy there had been a large surge [...]
reflation's tag archives
Food insecurity: alternative measure of economic distress skyrockets
Nov
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Ten lessons from financial crisis investors will soon forget
Nov
A friend sent me the following presentation earlier in the week when I was feeling a bit ill. So I neglected to post it. But, I want to return to it because it is in keeping with my recovery/depression theme. These are the issues that were complicit in the latest financial crisis and almost none [...]
China: reflation play spells trouble for rest of the world
Nov
Marshall Auerback here. You saw Ed’s last post on China, quoting from Peter Tasker, one of the top analysts in Japan when I lived there. I take Peter’s insights very seriously. His analysis implies something a lot more in regards to currencies, trade and credit.
China’s bank credit expansion is so great that even if [...]
Reflation watch hedge fund edition
Nov
Here’s another bullet point in our ongoing tally of reflation indicators. It’s the return of risk in the form of start-up hedge funds (John Meriwether included).
From the FT:
Hedge fund launches are growing in size and number after months of subdued activity in the wake of the collapse of Lehman Brothers last year.
The revival of fund [...]
Bullish data, recoveries, crashes and the psychology of forecasting redux
Nov
If you have been wondering whether a statistical recovery is at hand, today’s ISM manufacturing report should be the clincher. The report was definitely bullish with the ISM index rising to 55.7 and sub-components supporting the understanding that the manufacturing sector is expanding. This is quite a contrast to last month’s weak data and demonstrates [...]
Way too much risk in the equity market
Sep
Following up on my “Sell equities” post, I want to highlight a factoid from today’s David Rosenberg’s Breakfast with Dave distribution.
Never before has the S&P 500 rallied 60% from a low in such a short time frame as six months. And never before have we seen the S&P 500 rally 60% over an interval in [...]
Quantitative easing: printing money like mad to ward off deflation
Nov
In economic circles, there has been a lot of buzz about Quantitative Easing of late. Basically, the U.S. Federal Reserve has lowered interest rates to near zero percent and the fear is that these cuts will not have enough effect on the willingness to lend in order to reflate the U.S. economy. Therefore, the Fed has decided to take more draconian measures, one of which is Quantitative Easing, flooding the economy with money.
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