This April 2009 post points to a fake recovery predicated on monetary and fiscal stimulus. What happens when the salve of stimulus and pro-cyclical agents wears thin? Then the deleveraging begins in earnest.
quantitative easing's tag archives
The Age of the Fiat Currency: A 38-year experiment in inflation
Apr
Is the ECB all-in on printing money?
Mar
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Two weeks ago, the Fed roiled bond markets by signalling it would start to purchase Treasury bonds with printed money – the very definition of inflation.
Now, its the ECB’s turn to show it can inflate with the best of them. They have adopted extraordinary measures despite the view of many that they have not [...]
More thoughts on quantitative easing from Morgan Stanley
Mar
The following post is up on Morgan Stanley’s website and highlights the degree to which money printing has become the policy tool of choice used by central bankers with which to fight this deflationary threat. I have highlighted the whole paragraph on the inflationary risk of all of this.
Drug suspects show Ben Bernanke how to drop helicopter money
Mar
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You probably saw this one already, but a pair of suspected narcotics traffickers threw gads of money from their car window while being pursued by the Drug Enforcement Agency (DEA) in a car chase in San Diego. Basically, it was free money for any other drivers willing to risk death picking up the money [...]
The Norwegian krone: the new safe haven currency
Mar
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This comes via the Financial Times.
The Swiss National Bank’s decision to intervene to weaken the franc has left currency investors with one less haven from the financial crisis.
Its move comes at a time when there are also questions surrounding the future haven status of two other leading currencies: the dollar and the yen.
While the dollar [...]
Don’t underestimate the power of printing money
Mar
Quantitative easing is now the main policy course for the U.S. Federal Reserve. The U.S. Federal reserve is buying $300 billion in long-term U.S. government debt in order to keep interest rates low. As a result, the rally I in Treasuries that I have long anticipated is upon us – it is the most powerful rally I have ever witnessed.
As Marc Faber has said, “don’t underestimate the power of printing money.”
The U.S. dollar plunges due to quantitative easing
Mar
The U.S. dollar is getting hammered today. It is now trading near 1.34 to the euro, 1.42 to Sterling, 96 to the Yen and 1.14 to the Swiss franc. These are huge hockey stick style moves. from 1.30 to the euro, 1.39 to the pound, 98 to the yen and 1.18 to the Swiss franc just this morning. The dollar is getting killed here.
The Swiss get on the QE2
Mar
Apparently, the Swiss franc is too high — or so says the Swiss central bank. As a result, they are selling francs in the foreign exchange market to get the franc to come down. There has been a lot of speculation about the Swiss and their plans to devalue the Swiss franc, including on this site. It now seems clear that devaluation is where things are headed. On Feb 19th, I said as much:
Quantitative easing in the U.K.
Mar
Thirty years ago, it was “Anarchy in the U.K.” as Britain tried to get away from its role as the sick man of Europe. That meant civil unrest, high inflation and a weak economy. Margaret Thatcher was seen by many as the solution. Today, the British economy is sick again and there is anotherready solution to hand: quantitative easing a.k.a printing money:
Mea Culpa: The Fed is not going to buy treasuries
Feb
Judging from recent events, the bond vigilantes are right to suspect that Ben Bernanke is all talk and no action when it comes to keeping long-term rates low. If you recall, I had actually believed the Fed would support bonds because it was concerned about long-term interest rates. This is part of the reason I believed that Treasuries would rise despite being in bubble territory but it looks unlikely.
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- “Clearly, sustained low inflation implies less uncertainty about the future, and lower risk premiums imply higher prices of stocks and other earning assets. We can see that in the inverse relationship exhibited by price/earnings ratios and the rate of inflation in the past. But how do we know when irrational exuberance has unduly escalated asset values, which then become subject to unexpected and prolonged contractions as they have in Japan over the past decade? And how do we factor that assessment into monetary policy? We as central bankers need not be concerned if a collapsing financial asset bubble does not threaten to impair the real economy, its production, jobs, and price stability. Indeed, the sharp stock market break of 1987 had few negative consequences for the economy. But we should not underestimate or become complacent about the complexity of the interactions of asset markets and the economy. Thus, evaluating shifts in balance sheets generally, and in asset prices particularly, must be an integral part of the development of monetary policy.”
-- Alan Greenspan, American Enterprise Institute, Dec. 1996 Federal Reserve
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