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Nouriel Roubini, writing in the New York Daily News , said on Sunday that “unemployed Americans should hunker down for more job losses” given the likelihood of a job less recovery. This was as gloomy a piece as I have seen from Roubini in the past few months. He has clearly become more downbeat about [...]
Nouriel Roubini's tag archives
Roubini: For unemployment "the worst is yet to come"
Nov
Hong Kong: “America is doing exactly what Japan did last time”
Nov
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Hong Kong’s leader Donald Tsang has come out with a scathing criticism of U.S. monetary policy, comparing it to Japan’s which he believes contributed to 1997’s Asian crisis. This is the most direct and strident criticism of the U.S. Federal reserve’s monetary policy from a major international politician yet.
Bloomberg reports:
The Federal Reserve’s policy of keeping [...]
Bullish data, recoveries, crashes and the psychology of forecasting redux
Nov
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If you have been wondering whether a statistical recovery is at hand, today’s ISM manufacturing report should be the clincher. The report was definitely bullish with the ISM index rising to 55.7 and sub-components supporting the understanding that the manufacturing sector is expanding. This is quite a contrast to last month’s weak data and demonstrates [...]
Andy Xie: Central bank “arsonists have been asked to put out the fire”
Oct
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Former Morgan Stanley economist Andy Xie joins other famed prognosticators like Nouriel Roubini in worrying about an incipient asset bubble. The Rosetta Stone Advisors board member sees the huge increase in money supply created by central banks as fuel to an asset bubble fire. He even goes so far as to call the central banks [...]
Is the U.S. dollar carry trade replacing the one in Japanese yen?
Oct
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Nouriel Roubini seems to think so. In remarks quoted via Bloomberg, he called the enormous increase in asset prices “the mother of all carry trades.”
Investors worldwide are borrowing dollars to buy assets including equities and commodities, fueling “huge” bubbles that may spark another financial crisis, said New York University professor Nouriel Roubini.
“We have the [...]
CNBC denies culpability in Roubini as bull saga
Jul
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I just read a CNBC story which fails to mention CNBC’s involvement in the apparently erroneous report that Nouriel Roubini has suddenly become more bullish. Is this omission justified?
The controversy centers on statements Roubini made regarding the timing of a technical recovery in the United States. Yesterday, it was reported on CNBC and elsewhere [...]
Denninger accuses CNBC of falsely goosing market on Roubini’s back
Jul
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Here is a video released by Karl Denninger of Market Ticker in which he shows exasperation with CNBC’s pro-bullish bias. He notes that CNBC used comments by Nouriel Roubini to suggest the economy is rebounding faster. Denninger sees this as a pattern at CNBC and brings up prior incidents of a similar nature.
For his part, [...]
Roubini: Nationalization “fully on the table” in Geithner’s Plan
Mar
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This is yet another semi-positive post about the Geithner plan. To reiterate, I think the plan is inadequate because it assumes illiquidity instead of insolvency and is a huge gift to the financial sector. But, that does not mean it will definitely not work in conjunction with other moves by Obama.
In fact, to [...]
Roubini and Shiller comments at Davos
Jan
Bloomberg has a good interview from the World Economic Forum at Davos with Nouriel Roubini and Robert Shiller on the credit crisis and banking industry. The video is below.
Enjoy.
Nouriel Roubini: Will massive stimulus ward off stag-deflation?
Dec
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I am certainly of the view that a considerable worsening of the recession is baked in the cake for 2009. But will fiscal and monetary stimulus prevent worst case scenarios? I certainly hope so, as I have laid out in recent posts.
But, don’t take my word for it. The RGE Monitor headed [...]
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- “I spent most of my professional life in this building. Watching the politics of the things we did in the past financial crises in Mexico and Asia had a powerful effect on me. The surveys were 9-to-1 against almost everything that helped contain the damage. And I watched exceptionally capable people just get killed in the court of public opinion as they defended those policies on the Hill. This is a necessary part of the office, certainly in financial crises. I think this really says something important about the president, not about me. The test is whether you have people willing to do the things that are deeply unpopular, deeply hard to understand, knowing that they\'re necessary to do and better than the alternatives. We\'ll be judged on how we dealt with the things that were broken in the country. We broke the back of the worst financial panic in three generations, more effectively and at a much lower cost than I think anybody thought was possible.”
-- U.S. Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner, Dec. 2009
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