Today the Nationwide released their monthly UK-wide figures on house prices and the numbers were better. House prices fell 0.4% in the last month, bringing the annual fall to 13.9%, down from 14.6% in October.

Nevertheless, this is the 13th month in a row that house prices have fallen in the UK. Obviously, the UK is poised to have a sharp property fall that is worse than in the early 1990s.

ShareThe latest trend in the U.S. housing market is the move of problem loans from the subprime category and into Alt-A and prime mortgages. We have been sounding the alarm bells on this since about June. See the related posts below. However, now it seems we have reached that critical state where [...]

ShareThe United States had been living beyond its means for a very long time before the credit crisis finally hit. The truth of the matter is that U.S. monetary and fiscal policy rewarded risk-taking and leverage at the expense of prudence and saving.
The goal of government it seemed was to avoid the pain of [...]

Apparently, John McCain did even worse than I thought in last night’s debate. He and Barack Obama both failed to present a step-by-step plan as to what they were going to do about America’s banking crisis. They both merely rehashed old plans they have been discussing for months. But, McCain failed more in that he presented something old as something new. And it wasn’t even his.

ShareConnecticut-based Clayton Homes, now owned by Berkshire Hathaway and called Clayton Holdings, (not to be confused with Clayton Homes, a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway)*, has warned that Subprime and Alt-A delinquencies in the U.S. are still rising. This suggests that the fundamental problem underlying the banking crisis has not been addressed.
At its core, the credit [...]

ShareThis morning Chris Whalen made some comments on CNBC that hit the nail on the head regarding the U.S. banking crisis: there is a huge wave of old-fashioned loan losses coming down the pike. The writedowns we have seen to date are largely confined to tradeable securities that must be marked to market.
There [...]

ShareAs Hank Paulson looks to push through his Economic Patriot Act, it bears remembering that just a few months ago he saw Covered Bonds as a potential solution to U.S. problems with declining home prices.
They are not the solution. This market is now cratering and is having it’s worst month since 1999. Covered [...]

ShareI named my blog “Credit Writedowns” because I anticipated an historic wave of credit writedowns in the global banking system which would lead to a wave of deleveraging, systemic risk, and bank failures — in short, a massive financial and economic bust to rival the Great Depression.
Up until now I have masked this dire [...]

Update 06 Mar 2009: I am re-posting this because I am considering the view that Fannie and Freddie will be used to buy up mortgages, effectively nationalizing the U.S. Mortgage problem (see my last paragraphs). I had seen this as the likely result when the GSE were first put into conservatorship, but the Bush Administration was opposed to such an outcome. This is ever more likely now that Obama is in office.

ShareFrom the Guardian: