For the latest week, U.S. jobless claims hit 514,000, the lowest level since early January. This brings the widely-tracked four-week average down to 531,500, also a 9-month low. In addition, continuing claims fell below 6 million for the first time since March. All of these seasonally-adjusted data points suggest that the unemployment situation is slowly [...]
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Jobless claims now down to 514,000
Oct
There is no trade-off between unemployment and budget deficits
Oct
Marshall Auerback here with a few thoughts on employment policy and the limit to government spending in a fiat currency regime.
The Detroit story Edward just posted illustrates that we should start by eliminating the notion that society requires a buffer stock of unemployed people to discipline wage demands and protect profits. Not only is this immoral and [...]
Jobless claims lowest in 9 months
Oct
Jobless claims were reported as 521,000 on a seasonally-adjusted (SA) basis for the week ended October 3. This is the lowest reported figure for initial claims since January 3. The data came in lower than expectations and was matched by a drop in continuing claims to 6.04 million.
While both numbers are still high by [...]
Jobless claims back to 551,000; employment missing link to recovery
Oct
Today’s jobless claims report should dispel the notion that the labor market in the United States is getting significantly better. Initial jobless claims rose again to 551,000 from 534,000 the week prior. The 4-week average is still an exceedingly high 548,000 and continuing claims are over 6 million (All figures are seasonally-adjusted. Chart is below).
The [...]
Are jobless claims pointing to structurally high unemployment?
Sep
The latest jobless claims data is in, with initial claims registering 530,000 and continuing claims coming in at 6.1 million. These figures are well off the business cycle highs of a few months ago but still quite elevated.
While the as-reported seasonally adjusted initial claims numbers are in the 500s, the actual initial claims have [...]
Jobless claims: curiously large drop in unadjusted number
Sep
The jobless claims numbers have been telling us the same thing for weeks now, namely that the employment market is still weak but that layoffs are gradually slowing.
But, the unadjusted number of initial claims dropped 59k last week to 407k. I suspect this was due to a late Labor Day holiday in the States. Nevertheless, [...]
Average initial jobless claims still stubbornly high
Sep
The U.S. Department of Labor confirmed that for yet another week average jobless claims remain in the 560-580K range where they have been for two months. Initial claims for the week ended Sep. 5 were down to 550,000, a decline of 26,000 from the previous week. And continuing claims dropped as well.
But my focus [...]
Unemployment claims stuck at 570,000
Sep
The Department of Labor reported that jobless claims in the latest week decreased 4,000 from a revised 574,000 in the previous week. The figure was higher than analysts anticipated. Initially, the last week was reported as 570,000.
The 4-week average is now 571,250, marking the eighth consecutive week that initial claims for unemployment insurance have [...]
Unemployment claims falling faster than in half of past recessions
Aug
The U.S. Department of Labor released the Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report showing that initial jobless claims decreased 10,000 in the latest week to 570,000 from an upwardly revised 580,000 the week prior. The 4-week moving average is now 566,250, less than 100,000 off the April peak.
Since the week ended Jul. 18, the average initial [...]
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Average unemployment claims up slightly
Aug
The data from the most recent Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report are not particularly bullish. Claims are up for the second week in a row, dragging the 4-week average up with them. Year over-year comparisons continue to drop, but the two week increase is certainly a sign that employment is very much a weak link [...]
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