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This morning you may have read Gideon Rachman’s positive view on Hungary. He said the panic is all but over and it looks like Hungry is going to get through this debt crisis.
The horror scenario envisaged a Hungarian banking collapse that would ripple back into the rest of Europe and then around the world. Many [...]
Eastern Europe's tag archives
A bearish view on Eastern Europe
May
CDS contracts and the implosion of several Eastern European economies
Apr
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Today I saw two blurbs about Eastern Europe which I want to pull together with a bit of added commentary about the automakers in the U.S. The first blurb had to do with the Baltics and their probable downgrade to junk by the ratings agencies. This is what Win Thin, a Senior Currency Strategist at [...]
Baltics: Fitch downgrade and more downgrades to come
Apr
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The first time I wrote about the Baltics was back in August in a post entitled, “Are the Baltics the new Argentina?.” Since then, things have gotten progressively worse and the Baltics are clearly in Depression with Latvia leading the way to the downside. The credit ratings agencies have caught on to this [...]
Eastern European economic growth to crater in 2009
Apr
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This comes via Angus Robertson over at Research Recap:
Fitch Ratings forecasts that Emerging Europe (EE) will suffer its steepest fall in real GDP since the collapse of the Communist planned economic system in the early 1990s, reflecting the severity of the trade and financial shocks that have hit the region. However, the aggregate forecasts conceal [...]
Ukraine: economy shrank 25-30% in first two months
Mar
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If you want to know what a modern-day depression looks like, try Ukraine.
Growth in the ex-Soviet state, hit by shrinking markets for its steel and chemical exports, stood at 5.8 per cent of gross domestic product in the same period of 2008. ”We were ill-prepared to confront the crisis and its first blow was painful [...]
Hungary cut to a notch above junk by S&P
Mar
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Standard and Poors had their hands full today cutting credit ratings. They cut Ireland. But, they also cut Hungary, putting the country just above a junk credit rating. I don’t think these will be the last sovereign debt ratings downgrades, especially in emerging markets — economies worldwide are deteriorating.
The Brown Brothers Harriman currency group has [...]
Remittances to Eastern Europe to slow dramatically
Mar
The remittanc income from Mexican and Central American immigrants working in the United States bck to their home nations is not the only huge remittance flow in the world. One of significant import is in Europe, where millions of indivuals from the former Eastern Bloc now work in Western Europe. However, as in the U.S. – Mexican connection, these remittances will be nosediving.
Below is an analysis from Morgan Stanley (with my boldng):
European banks have hands out for more capital
Mar
While most people have their attention tuned to the spectacle over at AIG, financial institutions in Europe are having their own difficulties. In the last day, I have seen news stories of European banks looking for ways to raise capital in order to shore up their weakening balance sheets. Let me focus on three stories in particular: Nordea, Bank Austria and HVB.
Ukraine’s Tymoshenko warns of a new Iron Curtain
Mar
After Europe emerged from the worst war in human history, its cities lay in ruins. Its economy was in tatters. It was in this environment that an Iron Curtain fell over Europe dividing it into east and west, separating Europeans from each other for four decades. Now, another twenty years later, we risk another great divide in Europe, the Ukrainian Prime Minister Yuliya Tymoshenko has warned.
The EU promises to bail out eurozone members
Mar
About a week ago I reported on an Austrian story that the EU was gearing up for a bailout of any eurozone members which found themselves in difficulty (see my post, “EU planning 200 billion euro package for Eastern Europe“. This report is now being confirmed by multiple sources including Joaquin Almunia, the economics commissioner of the European Union.
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