Credit Writedowns » Caroline Baum

Caroline Baum: Bernanke’s defense of easy money is ivory tower nonsense

Edward Harrison — Wed, 06 Jan 2010 01:57:13 +0000

This quote from Caroline Baum sums things up pretty well about the Fed’s complicity in blowing a massive bubble in housing and in stocks before it. I know Bernanke has given this issue a great deal of thought and devoted the Fed’s resources to finding the correct answer. Still, the defense sounds like something out

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British regulators disclose terms of emergency aid during panic of 2008

Edward Harrison — Tue, 24 Nov 2009 14:28:41 +0000

The Financial Times reports that British regulators have now opened up to reveal more of the details surrounding the emergency aid banks received during the most acute periods of stress to date in the financial crisis. Meanwhile, in the U.S., the Federal Reserve continues to resist providing greater details. The sum some of Britain’s largest

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News from around the web: 2009-11-12

Edward Harrison — Thu, 12 Nov 2009 18:04:31 +0000

FT.com – Lloyds raises new capital target as bondholders warm to CoCos (sounds like good investor appetite for Lloyd’s) FT.com – Dollar knocked by China renminbi hints (Chinese showing they could revalue just before Obama arrives) Goldman’s Complete Presentation And Transcript From The Merrill Lynch Financial Services Conference | zero hedge Intel Pays A.M.D. $1.25

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All bubbles are equal, but some bubbles are more equal than others

Edward Harrison — Tue, 10 Nov 2009 14:30:59 +0000

Columbia University Professor and former Federal Reserve official Frederic Mishkin wrote a much-discussed Op-Ed in the Financial Times yesterday. In it, he asks Are potential asset-price bubbles always dangerous? He answers this question with a no, noting that some asset bubbles are more dangerous than others because of their connection to debt and credit. I

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News from around the web: 2009-10-26

Edward Harrison — Mon, 26 Oct 2009 13:01:05 +0000

Homeowners walking away from underwater mortgages – MiamiHerald.com Strategic default on the rise. Economics and Moral Courage – Llewellyn H. Rockwell, Jr. Anecdote contrasting von Mises and Hans Meyer Government Porkfare Is No Way to End Recession: Caroline Baum – Bloomberg.com "not all spending is created equal" FT Alphaville- Break-ING up is so hard to

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It’s the debt, stupid

Edward Harrison — Wed, 23 Sep 2009 14:40:51 +0000

Let’s say I run a company. For the sake of argument, we’ll call it a shoe store in New York City. I am making $100,000 net per year now. But, I look around me and see huge opportunity for growth. So I go to my bank and ask for a loan to expand my business.

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It’s the debt, stupid 23 Mar 2008

What real comprehensive healthcare reform looks like

Edward Harrison — Wed, 19 Aug 2009 18:37:17 +0000

Yesterday I wrote a healthcare polemic which was mostly designed to discuss the politics of healthcare for the President. The essence of my argument was that Barack Obama has not shown enough willingness to fight for specific policies he espoused on the campaign trail. In a poor economic environment, this weakens him politically, as is

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News from around the web: 2009-08-18

Edward Harrison — Wed, 19 Aug 2009 03:10:39 +0000

I have a lot more to add but I have a horrendous Internet connection where I now am. So I will provide more tomorrow. Sorry for the delay in answering emails and comments. “Just because the conventional economists are drinking the Kool-Aid doesn’t mean you have to” – FT AlphavilleDavid Rosenberg spins his tale of

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News from around the web: 2009-08-11 11 Aug 2009
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News from around the web: 2009-08-11

Edward Harrison — Tue, 11 Aug 2009 11:26:59 +0000

Posting will be light today as I will try not to be near a computer for most of the day. In the meantime, here are a few stories from around the web. Town Hall Crowd Shoots Health Message: Caroline Baum – Bloomberg.com Interview with Canadian PM Stephen Harper, 8/10/09 – Political Punch Jake Tapper interviews

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Links: 2009-06-25

Edward Harrison — Thu, 25 Jun 2009 16:52:44 +0000

What I was afraid of – Paul Krugman As I also predicted, Obama’s stimulus package is now looking inadequate. Volcker Gets Less Than He Wants in Curbing Wall Street Excesses – Bloomberg The title says everything, doesn’t it? Our Crisis of Regulation – Richard Posner This op-ed is spot on in saying that the Obama

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A brief note on the fake reform agenda

Edward Harrison — Wed, 24 Jun 2009 21:09:19 +0000

I was catching up with some of my reading when I happened across a quote from 1930 twice, which led me to write this post on how poor the Obama reform agenda really is. And I want ask you: is Obama Change you can believe in? The first post by Paul Krugman, “Green shoots, 1930”

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Links: 2009-05-22

Edward Harrison — Fri, 22 May 2009 12:46:04 +0000

Kevin Phillips: The New Politics of Inflation: Asian and Monetary “As of 2009, from Turkey and the Persian Gulf east to Indonesia, China and Siberia, it’s Asia’s turn to make the waves, rock the global financial boat and set a new international course . Think of this upheaval as the Second Price Revolution. The United

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Edward Harrison — Fri, 01 May 2009 13:41:49 +0000

Australian real estate values rise House and flat prices in Australia increased in value by 1.6% in the first three months of the year, according to RP Data-Rismark, helped by a scarcity of supply, lower interest rates and incentives to first-home buyers. The slight recovery in Australia “has been driven by the 40% fall in

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Links: 2009-04-27

Edward Harrison — Mon, 27 Apr 2009 14:38:57 +0000

FT Alphaville » Just how big a problem is falling capacity utilisation? Nice reference to Austrian School economist Josef Steindl. “Former commodity mega-bulls Goldman Sachs are expecting markets to continue to pull back from current levels in the near term as “fundamentals are not yet stable enough to support higher prices”” Bronte Capital: Biota –

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Links: 2009-04-04

Edward Harrison — Sat, 04 Apr 2009 14:40:09 +0000

I have a ton of links today, so I have broken then out into sections. See the news feed for other stories. Finance Inside Obama’s bank CEOs meeting – Eamon Javers – POLITICO.com “My administration,” the president added, “is the only thing between you and the pitchforks.” Lehman Brothers’ Dick Fuld Has a New Gig

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Links: 2009-03-12

Edward Harrison — Thu, 12 Mar 2009 12:39:43 +0000

Glencore buys back debt – FT Alphaville The fix is in! MTM Accounting Deal On The Way. – Option Armageddon Greenspan Forgets Where He Put His Asset Bubble: Caroline Baum (My take on a re-post is here: The Blame Asia Meme) Climate change gets worse – A sinking feeling – Economist (hat tip Yves Smith)

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Edward Harrison — Mon, 02 Mar 2009 16:19:31 +0000

Happy snow day!

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Edward Harrison — Fri, 20 Feb 2009 12:50:48 +0000

The Austrian Economists: Rick Santelli Rant Ken Rogoff says Fed needs to set inflation target of 6pc to help ease crisis – Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, Telegraph Japan department store sales down 9.1% in January – Japan Economy News & Blog FT.com | Willem Buiter’s Maverecon | Home loans in the US: the biggest racket since Al

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Public anger at Wall Street begins to boil over

Edward Harrison — Tue, 10 Feb 2009 17:12:57 +0000

Caroline Baum has a good column today at Bloomberg.com regarding public anger in America. She correctly states that the American public is not just angry at Wall Street, but at what Wall Street represents in terms of special interests, favoritism, privatized profit, and socialized risk. The U.S. Congress should not misread public anger as an

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Links: 2009-01-31

Edward Harrison — Sat, 31 Jan 2009 14:34:33 +0000

Remember to switch your RSS feed to http://www.creditwritedowns.com/feed since FeedBurner has not been forwarding my feed correctly. The Most Popular Twitter Acronyms – Digital Inspiration Wall Street suffers worst January – BBC News Outlook for Japan’s economy worsens – FT.com Rogoff: The Global Credit Drought – DealBook Blog – NYTimes.com Fed’s Credit Flirtation Muddles Exit

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Seven reasons to be skeptical of Obama’s economic plans

Edward Harrison — Tue, 27 Jan 2009 17:00:26 +0000

Government policy must be well-crafted in order to avoid negative unintended consequences that arise when the government inserts itself into the private sector. And this is where I am having a problem with the Obama Administration. Recently, Tim Geithner's comments about currency manipulation put me over the top; I felt compelled to give you my seven reasons to be skeptical about the policy course now being charted

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Links: 2009-01-22

Edward Harrison — Thu, 22 Jan 2009 20:50:53 +0000

As I write this, stock markets in the U.S. are in their final hour of a rather poor session. Selling seems to have been brought on by Microsoft's announcement that it is cutting jobs en masse for the first time ever. If you recall, Fred Hickey, a perma-bear from Barron's Roundtable, has become bullish on companies like Microsoft (as have I). So, their announcement demonstrates that even the most solid companies are going to stumble in this downturn. I don't think it is anything to panic about, just a reminder of how far-reaching things are getting. Below are a few other stories from around the Internet. Others may be found at the news feed. Enjoy

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Links: 2008-12-23 – global recession, China and Thoma

Edward Harrison — Tue, 23 Dec 2008 17:15:46 +0000

Greetings to all. This may be one of my last posts before Christmas. So forgive me by raining on your festivities with some dismal notes on the dismal science. And by the way, who ever called Economics a science? Economics seems more akin to medicine in the days of leeches and bloodletting given the inability of economists to predict anything. In any event, I have the usual smattering of posts from around the internet. However, I also have three subject which I would like to stress here

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Links: 2008-12-18 – more on ZIRP

Edward Harrison — Thu, 18 Dec 2008 20:41:53 +0000

Now that the United States has cut its interest rates to Zero and Ben Bernanke has helicopters flying over Wall Street, the question is: what happens next and who's following the Fed to zero? There are a lot of different answers

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Edward Harrison — Thu, 18 Dec 2008 03:05:15 +0000

After yesterdays melt-up on the Fed's decision to go ZIRP and introduce quantitative and qualitative easing, things are a bit calmer today. Here's what I have. Enjoy. Ed

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Edward Harrison — Thu, 11 Dec 2008 18:35:37 +0000

The big news today (at least in my mind) is the outsized jobless claims number of 573,000. This number confirms the view that the employment situation is worsening quite rapidly. I think we could see 7.2% unemployment next month given numbers of this magnitude. In other news, a huge row is developing in Europe over

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Quote of the day: William White and inflation

Edward Harrison — Thu, 11 Dec 2008 17:37:15 +0000

Caroline Baum had a good column today at Bloomberg in which she suggests central banks consider asset prices in monetary policy going forward. In the piece she quoted William White, a former economist from the Bank for International Settlements. He said: “The most calamitous downturns were not preceded by any degree of inflation. There was

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Links: 2008-12-05

Edward Harrison — Fri, 05 Dec 2008 04:35:24 +0000

Snowbound Marshall is doing an admirable job running things while I sun myself in the Bahamas (rubbing it in, eh?). You may remember Marshall from his days as a writer for Prudent Bear. Please do comment on his posts as he will respond in kind. Below is a list of a few links to newsworthy items from our newsfeed. As always, other items can be found at the newsfeed itself

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News round-up: 19 Nov 2008

Edward Harrison — Wed, 19 Nov 2008 18:00:00 +0000

Yesterday’s big news came at the hearings in Washington D.C. where U.S. Treasury Secretary Paulson did his best Donald Rumsfeld imitation, stonewalling Congress despite increasing anger at how the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) is being administered. See my post “Barney Frank rips Hank Paulson’s bait and switch” on this. Caroline Baum from Bloomberg also

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The recession has been confirmed – semi-officially

Edward Harrison — Wed, 12 Nov 2008 17:00:00 +0000

Robert Hall, the head of the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), which is the official arbiter of recession in the United States, has said the evidence is now “conclusive” that the U.S. is in recession. For me, that’s pretty much all she wrote — the recession has been confirmed. I have held that we

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Jeremy Grantham: “I am officially scared” 29 Jul 2008
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News round-up: 6 Nov 2008 – has the bear returned?

Edward Harrison — Fri, 07 Nov 2008 02:30:00 +0000

So, here we are one day into a brave new world, having seen America elect Barack Obama President. You might think the clouds would part, the sun would come out and all would be well with the world. Yet, it seems like quite the opposite is happening. Mr. Obama has one hell of a job

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Edward Harrison — Wed, 29 Oct 2008 07:00:00 +0000

PJB: Obama’s First 100 Days – Patrick BuchananUndeniably, a powerful tide is running for the Democratic Party, with one week left to Election Day. Bush’s approval rating is 27 percent, just above Richard Nixon’s Watergate nadir and almost down to Carter-Truman lows. Today’s Polls, 10/28 -FiveThirtyEightStop me if you’ve heard this one before. Although

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More Links for 2008-10-20 [del.icio.us] 21 Oct 2008
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Links: 2008-10-23 [del.icio.us] 24 Oct 2008

News round-up: 24 Sep 2008 – in other news

Edward Harrison — Wed, 24 Sep 2008 17:00:00 +0000

Because it seems like it’s all bailout all the time in the news these days, I thought I’d use today’s news round-up to highlight a few issues going on outside of the U.S. bailout plan. From my last two posts about the Canadian and Danish residential property markets, you can see that the underlying problems

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News round-up: 21 Sep 2008

Edward Harrison — Sun, 21 Sep 2008 16:45:00 +0000

Everyone and his brother is talking about the bailout plan from U.S. Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson. I am not going to add my voice to the cacophony just yet, except to remind readers that the executive branch and the Federal Reserve are taking a leadership role that constitutionally belongs with the U.S. Congress. Time and

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News round-up: 3 Sep 2008

Edward Harrison — Wed, 03 Sep 2008 04:00:00 +0000

Today, we have some interesting posts on personal finance, politics and technology. As well, I add in the usual line-up on the economy, housing, and the finance sector. Definitely read the articles on dream houses. Very nice places. Dream homesFor Sale in … Montreal – NY TimesWhat You Get for … $150,000 – NY TimesRenovating

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