Morgan Stanley’s piece on Treasuries Priced for Perfection…for Now! is pretty bearish. The basic gist is that while the ten-year represents fair value today, because inflation expectations have become unanchored, Morgan Stanley expects the yield to rise from 3.3% to 5.5%. That’s a disaster of 1994 proportions. Obviously, given some of my recent comments, this [...]
Bill Gross's tag archives
Morgan Stanley expects 10-year yields to rise 220 bps in 2010
Nov
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Bill Gross: "I think unemployment is here to stay"
Nov
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Gross isn’t buying corporates, high yield or equities even with zero rates
Nov
I pick up Bill Gross where I left him on Friday. He said in his monthly newsletter that the Fed is going to keep interest rates at zero percent through 2010. But, he is not willing to stick his neck out in a liquidity seeking return kind of way even though this is what reflation [...]
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Bill Gross: Fed on hold through 2010
Nov
Bill Gross of Pimco spoke on Bloomberg with Tom Keene and Ken Prewitt. He thinks the U.S. is entering a new normal of low nominal GDP growth. However, financial bets have been made on 6-7 percent nominal GDP (think pension liabilities). Unless we get 5-6% nominal GDP growth debt deflation and deleveraging dynamics (the D-process)will [...]
615 views
Bill Gross: “almost all assets appear to be overvalued on a long-term basis”
Oct
Bill Gross has a must-read piece out for his monthly Investment Outlook called “Midnight Candles.” He begins the piece with allusions to his advancing years (Gross is now 65) and the mortality he feels because of it – pretty sobering stuff. gross then abruptly segues into his investment outlook, leaving one with the distinct impression [...]
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Bill Gross: Sell equities and buy Treasuries
Sep
Bill Gross is a bond man. In fact, he is often called the “Bond King” because Pimco, the organization where he is founder and Co-Chief Investment Officer, is the largest bond fund in the world. In Bondland, what Gross says has a lot of weight.
And Gross has been talking about a “new normal” of deleveraging, [...]
Gross: The new normal for “the next 10 years and maybe even the next 20 years”
Sep
Bill Gross has a piece out now on Pimco’s website suggesting we are about to witness a sea change in saving and spending habits, government intervention, and a host of other issues. This is not a buy-the-dips kind of atmosphere and it will last for, oh, 20 years.
Gross says:
This “new” vs. “old” normal dichotomy was [...]
Bill Gross thinks the June unemployment data is bad
Jul
Now, Bill Gross, the Bond King, knows that bonds go up in price when bad economic data comes out. So, leaving aside the desire to talk one’s own book, I think Gross makes a number of good points on CNBC about the unemployment data which came out at 830 ET. His basic point is this: [...]
Bill Gross: the new normal means investors should shun risk
Jul
PIMCO, the world’s largest bond fund, has a new investment outlook by Founder Bill Gross. In it he says that we are in a long-term lower growth pattern as the asset-based economy of yore has melted away. He warns that this means risky assets should not be one’s investments of choice.
Here are a few choice [...]
Bill Gross: “Staying Rich in the New Normal”
Jun
PIMCO’s founder Bill Gross is out with his latest monthly missive. It makes for interesting reading, especially in regards to the captains of finance and their desire to stay rich using other people’s money.
I remember as a child my parents telling me, perhaps resentfully, that only a doctor, airline pilot, or a car dealer could [...]
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