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That’s the question on everyone’s mind and the one Bill Gross of Pimco attempts to answer in this month’s Investment Outlook. He starts out defining the problem as a lack of aggregate demand – the Keynesian understanding of depression.
To begin with, let’s get reacquainted with the fundamental economic problem of our age – lack of [...]
Bill Gross's tag archives
Can you get out of a debt crisis by piling on another layer of debt?
Mar
Bill Gross and the deficit ring of fire
Jan
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Bill Gross is out with his latest monthly investment outlook. He is taking on the issue of sovereign debt. This is an issue that has moved center stage, especially in the wake of the surprise Thanksgiving debt moratorium announcement in Dubai.
What caught my eye was this chart below.
The obvious implication of the chart is [...]
Bill Gross opines on investing in a world of crony capitalism
Jan
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Bond king Bill Gross has gone populist. He starts his latest monthly investment outlook with an indictment of capitalism as practiced today in the United States that is a frontal assault on the corruption we are witnessing in Washington. As more and more revelations like the Geithner AIG cover-up surface, one must wonder if America [...]
Morgan Stanley expects 10-year yields to rise 220 bps in 2010
Nov
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Morgan Stanley’s piece on Treasuries Priced for Perfection…for Now! is pretty bearish. The basic gist is that while the ten-year represents fair value today, because inflation expectations have become unanchored, Morgan Stanley expects the yield to rise from 3.3% to 5.5%. That’s a disaster of 1994 proportions. Obviously, given some of my recent comments, this [...]
Bill Gross: "I think unemployment is here to stay"
Nov
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Gross isn’t buying corporates, high yield or equities even with zero rates
Nov
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I pick up Bill Gross where I left him on Friday. He said in his monthly newsletter that the Fed is going to keep interest rates at zero percent through 2010. But, he is not willing to stick his neck out in a liquidity seeking return kind of way even though this is what reflation [...]
Bill Gross: Fed on hold through 2010
Nov
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Bill Gross of Pimco spoke on Bloomberg with Tom Keene and Ken Prewitt. He thinks the U.S. is entering a new normal of low nominal GDP growth. However, financial bets have been made on 6-7 percent nominal GDP (think pension liabilities). Unless we get 5-6% nominal GDP growth debt deflation and deleveraging dynamics (the D-process)will [...]
Bill Gross: “almost all assets appear to be overvalued on a long-term basis”
Oct
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Bill Gross has a must-read piece out for his monthly Investment Outlook called “Midnight Candles.” He begins the piece with allusions to his advancing years (Gross is now 65) and the mortality he feels because of it – pretty sobering stuff. gross then abruptly segues into his investment outlook, leaving one with the distinct impression [...]
Bill Gross: Sell equities and buy Treasuries
Sep
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Bill Gross is a bond man. In fact, he is often called the “Bond King” because Pimco, the organization where he is founder and Co-Chief Investment Officer, is the largest bond fund in the world. In Bondland, what Gross says has a lot of weight.
And Gross has been talking about a “new normal” of deleveraging, [...]
Gross: The new normal for “the next 10 years and maybe even the next 20 years”
Sep
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Bill Gross has a piece out now on Pimco’s website suggesting we are about to witness a sea change in saving and spending habits, government intervention, and a host of other issues. This is not a buy-the-dips kind of atmosphere and it will last for, oh, 20 years.
Gross says:
This “new” vs. “old” normal dichotomy was [...]
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