Valero Energy has just announced it is shutting down its Delaware City Refinery. This is a major news announcement because refiners should be seen as a canary in the coalmine for end-user demand and Valero is one company in the oil patch which has been loath to cut workers to improve the bottom line. This [...]
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Largest U.S. refiner Valero now permanently shutting capacity
Nov
Bill Gross: "I think unemployment is here to stay"
Nov
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The slow but inexorable decline of jobless claims
Nov
Initial jobless claims for the past week were 505,000, tied with last week for the lowest since January. This brings the 4-week average down to 514,000, the lowest since November of last year and the 11th consecutive week of declines.
Clearly, fewer people are losing their jobs. But, 505,000 is still a large number – [...]
Barack Obama: “if we keep on adding to the debt… that could actually lead to a double-dip”
Nov
Barack Obama has now come clean about his thinking on why his administration has decided to focus first on reducing the deficit and next on jobs. He fears a double-dip recession will occur if foreigners lose confidence in the U.S. dollar, causing interest rates to spike.
This is nonsense and it demonstrates how much at [...]
News from 17 November 1930: “we face a winter of hunger and distress”
Nov
This excerpt comes from the blog News from 1930 which gives us a day-to-day account of what was being reported in 1930 before the worst of the Great Depression hit.
“The unemployment situation in New York is critical. Unless it is speedily met, we face a winter of hunger and distress for families whose bread-earners are [...]
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Food insecurity: alternative measure of economic distress skyrockets
Nov
The US Department of Agriculture highlights how the United States in the last decade, despite increased aggregate wealth, slid back significantly in terms of food insecurity as measure of poverty. With everyone now focused on the unemployment situation, it bears noting that even before the downturn in the economy there had been a large surge [...]
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Roubini: For unemployment "the worst is yet to come"
Nov
Nouriel Roubini, writing in the New York Daily News , said on Sunday that “unemployed Americans should hunker down for more job losses” given the likelihood of a job less recovery. This was as gloomy a piece as I have seen from Roubini in the past few months. He has clearly become more downbeat about [...]
If this is recovery…
Nov
Today, I want to run a few thoughts by you courtesy of John Mauldin. In his recent weekly newsletter, he makes a number of points I have made here over the past few weeks and comes to a similar conclusion about the weakness of recovery and the likelihood of a double dip recession.
John Mauldin, Best-Selling [...]
China’s empty city: the emperor really has no clothes
Nov
Hat tip Barry Ritholtz
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Consumer confidence sinking
Nov
From Bloomberg:
Confidence among U.S. consumers unexpectedly dropped in November as the loss of jobs threatened to undermine the biggest part of the economy.
The Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary sentiment index decreased to a three-month low of 66 from 70.6 in October…
Rising joblessness puts the economy at risk of slipping into a vicious circle of firings [...]
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