The latest opinion polls in Germany show Angela Merkel at her most popular. But her governing coalition partner FDP will almost certainly miss the 5% hurdle in Germany’s general election, leaving the political landscape very uncertain.
Merkel, as a political figure, has gone from strength to strength, with her personal poll numbers consistently showing widespread popularity amongst the German electorate. This has puled her party up to its highest poll numbers since Merkel’s election as Chancellor in 2005. Right now, the CDU/CSU parties are polling at 42% for this year’s general election while the challenging SPD party is only polling at 25%. That puts Merkel in the best position to form a government after the election.
The problem for Merkel is that her FDP coalition partner’s standing in the electorate has plummeted in recent years. Right now, they are polling at a measly 2% – and will miss the 5% hurdle that throws them out of the German Bundestag in all likelihood. That means that the Chancellor cannot reach a 50% governing coalition majority with the present governing configuration of CDU, CSU and FDP if current polls were to hold.
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