I wrote a note regarding the Q1 2009 GDP report which mentioned that the price deflator showed a large pick up in actual inflation. While I don’t think we are off to the races immediately, I do see inflation as a medium-term threat and this was a reminder.
The guys over at Brown Brothers Harriman take a different tack. So, in the interest of giving you a different view, I am posting what they had to say. I will bold the parts that I believe are most important to their argument. While I would point out that the Price deflators have accelerated, it is hard to debate the logic in much of what they say regardless of your medium-term concerns about inflation.






