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The S&P/Case-Shiller® Home Price Indices were released today. They showed a further decline in home prices in the United States through August 2008 (the data most recently available). In the year to August, prices dropped 17.7% for the Composite-10 index and 16.6% for the Composite-20 index.
Among the twenty cities tracked in the index, particularly [...]
Archive for October, 2008
Case-Shiller: home prices fall even further
Oct
Valero crushes earnings: I was wrong
Oct
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A while back, as I scanned the wreckage of the market meltdown, the energy sector caught my attention. In particular, I noticed the refining and oil services sectors because they are not as beholden to falling prices as the Exploration and Production sectors are. My feeling was that while earnings were going to [...]
Massive short covering at VW and massive losses for hedgies
Oct
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I ran across a very disturbing news item today that is getting a lot of press in Germany. Apparently, the leveraged finance community is getting routed at the German Automaker VW. The crux of the situation is that Porsche, which controls VW, upped its stake in the company causing shares to rise. [...]
Links for 2008-10-27 [del.icio.us]
Oct
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GOP ‘mavericks’ concerned with McCain – Politico
In the past week alone, a handful of liberal, moderate and independent-leaning Republican officials have publicly announced they are supporting Barack Obama.
Messy trial ends with a decisive verdict – Politico
Ted Stevens was convicted today on seven counts of failing to report more than $250,000 in improper gifts, but he [...]
Quote of the day: Nationalized banking predators
Oct
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As with everything else, the bailout of the U.S. banking system is going to have unintended consequences. One of them seems to be giving exactly those firms that wasted billions of shareholder money a chance to double down. Flush with government money, these busted financial companies may just go on a shopping spree [...]
Subprime good, prime bad
Oct
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The latest trend in the U.S. housing market is the move of problem loans from the subprime category and into Alt-A and prime mortgages. We have been sounding the alarm bells on this since about June. See the related posts below. However, now it seems we have reached that critical state where [...]
Chart of the day: Aussie – Yen cross
Oct
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Of the major currencies, the Japanese Yen has been the strongest in the last few months, while the Australian Dollar has been the weakest. These two currencies have also been the most conspicuous in the Japanese carry trade. That trade is now coming unstuck, precipitating changes of epic proportions.
For those of you who [...]
E-voting machines on the Simpsons
Oct
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You remember the furor in 2004 over the hackability of the Diebold voting machines? Well, that same worry is back in 2008 and apparently Homer Simpson has fallen prey. Watch the video. Hilarious. (hat tip Marshall Auerback).
Related articles
Hacking e-voting machines can be hard, Diebold shows you how – Engadget
Princeton publishes how-to guide [...]
Forced liquidation
Oct
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The recent movement in global markets has me scratching my head a bit. You have people dumping gold and the Swiss Franc in order to invest in the U.S. dollar and Treasury securities. Everyone says it is a flight to quality. I do not agree. Logic has it that the U.S., [...]
News round-up: 27 Oct 2008
Oct
The set-up for this morning is anything but good. We are looking at another ugly day as global equity markets have plummeted. We would be lucky to escape this with a 300-point loss like Friday.
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- ““It’s hard to believe that after blowing up so many bubbles over the past couple years, the Fed is managing to blow yet another bubble...
Thirty-year Treasury bonds are yielding about 2.5 percent. You would have to assume that over the next 30 years there will be no inflation problem..
Given the expansionary fiscal and monetary policy of the United States, “there will be a time when inflation accelerates along with a weak dollar...
When that happens, central banks will have to increases interest rates, which will be difficult to implement.”
-- Marc Faber early in 2009
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