August 2008

'Buy and hold' is a myth that I hope dies an ugly death just like the Efficient Market Hypothesis. When one looks at the numbers, it is as plain as day that the stock market moves in sweeping trends that take decades to unfold.

Warren Buffett has done pretty well for himself, amassing a net worth north of $50 billion. Yet, for all his detailed analysis and combing through financial reports, he has never said he models things out to the nth degree.In fact, Buffett…

As you could probably tell -- from all the stories I have been writing about the Baltics, Denmark, Sweden, you name it -- I believe that Europe is the next leg down in the global housing bubble. As such, it will pay to focus as much…

What has the housing bubble told us about market efficiency, social psychology and economics? Quite a lot, I believe.In the aftermath of the housing bubble, one thing is for certain: we can throw out the inane "Efficient Market…

Top BillingNo Limit to Greenspan's Once-In-A-Century Events: Caroline Baum - BloombergFinancial sector woesU.S. likely to recapitalize Fannie, Freddie: report - ReutersU.S. banks scramble to refinance maturing debt - FTAnalysts Said to…

An article in today's Guardian says that London property prices are falling. In fact they fell over 5% in a single month.Asking prices in London fell 5.3% in August, according to the Rightmove house price survey - equivalent to a £21,000…

Baltic currencies are overvalued, which has led to hot money flows and unsustainable levels of consumption. A crash is all but inevitable. The Baltics want in to the Euro, Estonia and Lithuania in particular. They are willing to…

HousingU.S. subprime collapse reaches Welsh town - LA Times (LA Times take on interconnectedness of post-bubble world)American housing - home economics - Economist (optimism)American housing - ticking time bomb - Economist (pessimism)Dr.…

This weekend I am at my wife's family reunion so I haven't have a lot of time for blogging. But, I caught an interesting article in Swedish daily Dagens Nyheter, which cites an IMF study which claims that property values in Sweden are…