Oil close to $146


Oil tightened its squeeze on world economies today soaring to a new high of over $145 a barrel. Eurozone growth is also expected to take a further hit at lunchtime when the European Central Bank is expected to raise rates to curb inflation.

In London, the continuing threat of an attack on Iran, the world’s fourth largest oil producer, sent Brent crude to $145.75 a barrel, while in Asia, oil for August delivery was trading at $144.35 – more than 30 per cent higher than prices at the end of last year.

The European Central Bank prepares to lift the interest rate above 4 per cent today, which analysts are expecting to hit the dollar and force investors to sink their money into commodities.

At the same time, it has emerged in the U.S. that fuel stockpiles are down by 2 million barrels, 800,000 barrels worse than expected, while investors are spooked that Iran could withhold oil supplies if talk of an attack by either America or Israel continue.

Around 40 per cent of the world’s tanker traffic passes through the Strait of Hormuz, and a closure could push prices significantly higher

-The Times of London, 3 Jul 2008

The price action makes me think we are nearing the top here. I’d call $150 a peak. Many have called a peak before so let’s see what happens going forward.

avatar About Edward Harrison

Edward Harrison is the founder of Credit Writedowns and a former career diplomat, investment banker and technology executive with over twenty years of business experience. He is also a regular economic and financial commentator on BBC World News, CNBC Television, Business News Network, CBC, Fox Television and RT Television. He speaks six languages, a skill he uses to provide a more global perspective. Edward holds an MBA in Finance from Columbia University and a BA in Economics from Dartmouth College.

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