M3: I wonder what it looks like today


You know, the Federal Reserve stopped publishing M3 for some strange reason back on 23 Mar 2006.

At the time, they said the following:

M3 does not appear to convey any additional information about economic activity that is not already embodied in M2 and has not played a role in the monetary policy process for many years. Consequently, the Board judged that the costs of collecting the underlying data and publishing M3 outweigh the benefits.
-Federal Reserve web site

hmmm….

The chart below shows the entire data series of M3 from Jan 1960-Feb 2006, measuring y-o-y growth. It’s interesting to note that M3 plummeted around two recessions, 1970 and 1990-91. Year-on-year M3 growth actually went negative only once: 1993.

Notice the huge spikes in M3 in 1970 and 1993. The Fed turned on the afterburners. Their policy was especially inflationary in 1998 and 2000-2001 in order to stave off the Asian contagion and tech wreck of that day. M3 sees a huge downshift during Volcker’s reign (1979-1987), followed by a huge up-shift from 1993 to the tech wreck in 2001.

I wonder what M3 looks like today.

see also: What is Inflation?

avatar About Edward Harrison

Edward Harrison is the founder of Credit Writedowns and a former career diplomat, investment banker and technology executive with over twenty years of business experience. He is also a regular economic and financial commentator on BBC World News, CNBC Television, Business News Network, CBC, Fox Television and RT Television. He speaks six languages, a skill he uses to provide a more global perspective. Edward holds an MBA in Finance from Columbia University and a BA in Economics from Dartmouth College.

Related Posts

No related posts.