This is a very good explanatory piece from CNBC on how counterparty credit risk makes the credit default swap market a financial weapon of mass destruction. Note they are not talking about eliminating the CDS market, but merely regulating and standardizing it to prevent a potentially catastrophic domino effect.
We needed regulators like this when the bubble was being formed. Elizabeth Warren is truly a breath of fresh air.
Since I was off yesterday, I have a lot of links. Here is the first batch. I will try and post some more tonight. Enjoy. Geithner enriches speculators in “sham” bank bail-outs – Telegraph The US Treasury’s effort to stabilise the banking system through the TARP programme is a hopelessly […]
The Bear here is Meredith Whitney, who says that bank stocks will return to negative earnings in the second quarter. That’s a big and very specific call that is very much out of line with the consensus. In an interview with Maria Bartiromo, Whitney says she did foresee the recent […]
Initial jobless claims rose 32,000 to 637,000 last week in the United States. This helped push continuing claims to another record of 6.56 million, suggesting the unemployment rate will continue to rise at a worrying pace going forward. The best way to describe this report is weak. Nevertheless, initial claims […]
This is a video from Bloomberg Television yesterday. It underscores the fragility of this incipient recovery. You will notice that California is leading the way in terms of foreclosures, one reason the state will 00 bankrupt or be bailed out. Here are some tidbits from the related Bloomberg News story: […]
You can see this coming. It is looming and has been for some time. Remember that California is the biggest loser in the housing crash and it has one of the highest unemployment rates in the United States. I have been warning that this would be a problem since last […]
U.S. foreclosure filings sets record in April, seen jumping | Reuters “U.S. foreclosure activity in April jumped 32 percent from a year ago to a record high, and should mount because temporary freezes on foreclosures ended in March, RealtyTrac said on Wednesday. One in every 374 households with mortgages got […]
It is not just the Chinese making noises about the reliability of the United States as a debtor. Now, Japanese politicians are doing it too. In fact, the Democratic Party of Japan (which is not in power) have said they would not buy U.S. bonds if elected. An excerpt from […]
This morning you may have read Gideon Rachman’s positive view on Hungary. He said the panic is all but over and it looks like Hungry is going to get through this debt crisis. The horror scenario envisaged a Hungarian banking collapse that would ripple back into the rest of Europe […]
Not to go all bearish on you here, but I do think it is significant that a number of market pros are coming out of hiding and predicting some major turmoil. The latest in this group is Jim Rogers. He thinks we are about to have a serious currency crisis, […]
As you all know, I think we are in a secular bear market rally/cyclical bull market right now. So, yes, this has been and may continue to be a powerful up-move in shares worldwide. However, I am certainly not convinced we are off to the races for the long-term here. […]