This comes from Angus Robertson of Research Recap. Expect some major writedowns here going forward: A dramatic rise in delinquencies has led Fitch Ratings to raise its average loss estimates for recent vintage jumbo prime mortgage pools to between 3 and 5 times higher than its previous estimate. Fitch’s revised average loss estimates as a percentage of the remaining pool […]
I do believe the U.S. policy response to this financial crisis is very much like the Japanese response to their crisis in the 1990s. I have a post up at “naked capitalism” making this point. I would add, however, that America is in a worse position due to its lack of exports and manufacturing and it huge current account deficit […]
Marshall Auerback here. I do not like the Geithner Plan because it is needlessly expensive. Nevertheless, it could well work. My main objection is that it constitutes the most regressive transfer of wealth in history and it’s being done BY A DEMOCRAT ADMINISTRATION!!!! Unbelievable. It has to be done this way in terms of securing funding for the banks because […]
This comes from Swiss daily Le Temps (my translation): Credit Suisse will request the creation of additional conditional capital of 3.98 million at the General Meeting of April 24. The operation is to guarantee to the bank the “strategic flexibility” needed. Conditional capital has already been used almost exclusively for the issuance of mandatory convertible bonds (mandatory convertible notes) last […]
Merrill’s Economic Research team has been top notch for years under the leadership of Richard Bernstein and David Rosenberg. Unfortunately for Bank of Aerica, these two gentlemen are jumping ship now that Merrills has been taen over by BOA. I look forward to hearing more from them in their new roles elsewhere.
The remittanc income from Mexican and Central American immigrants working in the United States bck to their home nations is not the only huge remittance flow in the world. One of significant import is in Europe, where millions of indivuals from the former Eastern Bloc now work in Western Europe. However, as in the U.S. – Mexican connection, these remittances will be nosediving.
Below is an analysis from Morgan Stanley (with my boldng):
This comes from Marc Chandler, Global Head of Currency Strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman (bolding in original). Chandler does NOT see an imminent switch to Euros in the offing, despite the recent musings by Chinese officials (Neither do I. However, I do believe the US dollar is a weak currency. At a minimum, gold and oil should gain as the Fed […]
Here are the main links. Others can be found in the news feed (also available via RSS). Enjoy. The Cultural Costs of Bailout Nation – Baseline Scenario The biggest problem with the Geithner plan – John Hempton The fiscal vacuum at the heart of the Eurosystem and the fiscal abuse by and of the Fed – Willem Buiter China calls for new reserve […]
Paul Kasriel thinks the Fed announcement that it is monetizing the U.S. Federal Government’s deficit is very important. He ends his article at Northern Trust with these words: In the coming months, the federal government is going to be increasing its debt issuance to finance its increased spending as a result of the recently-passed fiscal stimulus program. The Congressional Budget […]
This comes via the Financial Times (Hat tip CR): China’s central bank on Monday proposed replacing the US dollar as the international reserve currency with a new global system controlled by the International Monetary Fund. In an essay posted on the People’s Bank of China’s website, Zhou Xiaochuan, the central bank’s governor, said the goal would be to create a […]
Barack Obama’s presidency will likely be decided by one single issue – his ability to deal with this financial crisis. With the release of his Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner’s Public Private Partnership Investment Program two months into his administration, we now have a fairly comprehensive view of Obama’s strategic approach. Will it work?
FDIC Chairman Sheila C. Bair said, “It has been clear for some time that troubled loans and securities have depressed market perceptions of banks and impeded new lending. Difficult market conditions have complicated efforts to sell these troubled assets because potential buyers have not had access to financing. The Legacy Loans Program aligns the interests of the government with private […]