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Treasury yields go below zero

The yield on he three-month U.S. treasury bill went below zero for the first time ever. This seems to be an unprecedented move where investors are actually paying the U.S. Government to borrow money. In my estimation, this is not just a flight to a safe haven in turbulent times. Negative interest rates in U.S. treasuries reveal a bubble that will pop and end badly for all concerned.

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Illinois governor Blagojevich’s dumb press conference

This video is a good laugh given what we now know about the alleged criminal activity going on in Illinois Governor Blagojevich’s office. Here is Blogojevich yesterday at a press conference. The man is smug and obnoxious. Now, he is going to jail. The question is what impact will this have on President-elect Obama.

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Illinois governor in custody for trying to sell Obama’s Senate seat

I have seen this all over the political blogosphere.  Blagojevich is reputed to have been under investigation for corruption and wire-tapping charges for quite a while.  They finally decided to pull the trigger and arrest him over this. Here is a very good account by Michael Scherer from Swampland. Note the reference to a story I covered regarding the Tribune […]

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Martinsa Fadesa: Asset value drops 30%, liabilities much larger

FT Alphaville is reporting that Martinsa Fadesa, the bankrupt Spanish property developer, has seen the value of its drop 30% this year alone. Spain has largely slipped from view as the credit crisis has reached global dimensions. However, it bears remembering that Spain, along with the U.S., the U.K. and Ireland have been at the forefront of residential property price falls.

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Holiday season cinema: The Dark Knight released on DVD

The holiday season is the second most important for the movie studios and many of their academy-award nominees are released in the time after Thanksgiving (the 4th Thursday of November) to take advantage of the holiday cheer. One film released this summer, the Dark Knight, is talked about, not because of Chrstian Bale, its star, but because of Heath Ledger, […]

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Australia: 40% chance of recession? Try 95%

This is the absurd thinking of economists. Australia has a 40% chance of recession next year. What does that even mean? If you asked me, I would say the chances of recession in Australia are 100%. You have a slowing property market, financial sector turmoil, a falling currency, plunging commodity prices and a global credit crunch. How do Australian economists […]

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The Tribune files for bankruptcy

The Tribune files for bankruptcy

The Tribune was simply over-leveraged with a balance sheet made for this age of debt, leverage and bubbles. Note the lack of equity and the enormous debt load. Why would anyone, especially someone as savvy as Sam Zell load up a declining business with this much debt? Was it greed, hubris? It seems inexplicable to me.

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2008-12-08: Pre-Market trading good

2008-12-08: Pre-Market trading good

As we get ready for another week in the markets, it bears noting that stock markets are notoriously able in shrugging off news (both good and bad) and moving as if to their own drummer. Today could be one of those days, with overseas markets up 4-6%. The Pre-Market figures look good in the U.S. as well. I had heard […]

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Links: 2008-12-08

Below are a few links to web stories you might enjoy. Other news stories can be found at our newsfeed. The newsfeed is also available via RSS. I would like to point out the story on econbloggers as particularly interesting — where’s Credit Writedowns in the article?

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Chicago Tribune near bankruptcy

In a shocking news story, the Wall Street Journal reports that the media company Tribune Company, which publishes the Chicago Tribune, is exploring bankruptcy.  While advertising revenue has contracted significantly, impacting all major media companies, it was not expected that this would lead to bankruptcy.  Below is a snippet of the Journal story. Tribune Co. is preparing for a possible […]

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Links: 2008-12-06

Below are a few links to web stories you might enjoy. Other news stories can be found at our newsfeed. The newsfeed is also available via RSS. I would like to point out the emerging market stories in particular on Eastern Europe and Asia. Those are the first three below. Following that is a good article from the economist on bad banks. This is something I have mentioned as a necessary credit crisis move in the United States in particular. See “The Swedish banking crisis response – a model for the future?.”

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Quantitative easing everywhere?

First the Fed and now the ECB and Bank of England are talking about some form of quantitative easing! Of course, if they are all going to do it, do we have a dollar crash or is it more of a crisis of confidence in fiat currencies in general? The only obvious investment conclusion I can draw from this is […]

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