The Art of Outperformance

“When data contradicts theory in a discipline like physics, there is excitement amongst scientists . When data contradicts theory in finance, there is dismissal.” Robert Arnott Big shift to passive Active management in the equity…

The European Disease

The Absolute Return Letter, June 2010 “You cannot turn a pig’s ear into a silk purse, and there is no point in pretending that an economy like that of Greece could somehow become a mini-Germany ”with appropriate resolve and discipline”.…

The Commodities Con

In last month’s Absolute Return Letter I raised a yellow flag concerning the short term outlook for commodities. Quite a few readers asked me to elaborate on that, which is precisely what I am going to do. In the following, my assessment…

When the Facts Change

In last month’s letter I looked at the challenges confronting the world’s baby boomers based on the assumption that we are in a structural equity bear market, which implies below average returns for equity investors for several more years…

The Retirement Lottery

Most of us have about 20 years to secure our retirement - from our mid 40s to our mid 60s. That has been an absolute disaster for my generation, with inflation-adjusted returns on a global equity portfolio being down about 23% over the past…

If PIIGS Could Fly

It was always naïve to believe that a crisis so deep and profound was going to go away with a whimper; however, an increase of more than 50% in global equity prices can be very seductive, and nine months of virtually uninterrupted gains…

Mental Midgets and Moral Pygmies

The following is a re-print of the latest monthly newsletter from Niels Jensen of Absolute Return Partners, published with the express permission of the author. Visit www.arpllp.com to learn more about Absolute Return Partners.  You…

Time to Cut Taxes?

The following is a re-print of the latest monthly newsletter from Niels Jensen of Absolute Return Partners, published with the express permission of the author. Visit www.arpllp.com to learn more about Absolute Return Partners. You can…

The Hamster on the Wheel

This latest monthly missive is on dwindling energy supplies – known as Peak Oil, something Edward has talked about before. The parabolic rise and collapse in oil prices we saw last year was not just about speculation, it was about peak…

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