Yanis Varoufakis had a long interview on RT’s Boom Bust yesterday going into detail behind his political candidacy and what he expects SYRIZA to do regarding the unsustainable debt burden that the Greek government now has. Overall, despite his problems with the eurozone’s institutional structure, Yanis believes Greece leaving the eurozone would be a catastrophe for the simple fact that it does not have a currency and any attempt to leave would be seen as a prelude to a massive devaluation, inviting capital flight on a grand scale. This would be a catastrophe for the Greek banking system and wider economy.
Author: Edward Harrison
If wages in Japan are stagnant, how is increasing inflation going to help wage earners afford a better stream of good and services? It won’t. Ultimately, what we need to see are policies which maintain wages for median and lower-income wage earners with the greatest marginal propensity to spend. Without this, in a demographically challenged and indebted private sector, so-called secular stagnation is almost a certainty.
This is going to be a relatively short note focused on what is going on in Japan because of the news that Japan has ramped up its program of quantitative easing to new heights. Coming on the heels of the US Federal Reserve’s announcement that it would stop expanding its balance sheet with large scale asset purchases, the Bank of Japan’s announcement was music to the ears of Japanese equities investors. And shares in Japan promptly rose 4.8% on the news. The larger question, however, is whether QE is effective either at shaping future inflation or inflation expectations or at increasing nominal and real GDP. The evidence is equivocal. And so Japan presents a unique opportunity to see the limits of monetary policy tested.
There are no big themes dominating the news today. So it is a perfect time to hit a couple of themes with an economic and market theme approach. Let’s talk banks, Japanese trade, the currency wars and deflation.
“I am determined that the American dollar must never again be a hostage in the hands of international speculators”
Below is the video of Richard Nixon closing the gold window exactly 43 years ago today. Hat tip to Raja Korman
This is an abbreviated post from our subscription series at Credit Writedowns Pro. I am very interested in the intersection of private debt, financial fragility and economic growth because I believe this intersection is pivotal in understanding whether the secular forces which led to the Great Financial Crisis have been arrested. I want to use Ireland as a jumping off […]
China dumps Symantec, Kaspersky Lab from approved vendors – CNET ekathimerini.com | Moody’s upgrades Greece by two notches China Services Index Drops to Six-Month Low on Property – Bloomberg We owe five times more than we did in 2008 – Independent.ie Enough Russian Roulette with Nuclear Fire | Ian Welsh BES seniors fly; sub capitulates | Capital City | IFRe […]
This week’s economic and market themes piece is going to be a little shorter than usual because I have covered a lot of the major topics earlier in the week. Full commentary at Credit Writedowns Pro
Puerto Rico Power Authority in Deal With Banks to Defer Loan Payments – WSJ Argentina accuses US of judicial malpractice for triggering needless default – Telegraph History Suggests China Is on Verge of Banking Crisis – China Real Time Report – WSJ China’s factories spring to life as global trade reawakens | Reuters Europe’s ‘sick man’ France dealt another blow […]
This is an abbreviated post from our subscription series at Credit Writedowns Pro. This post is on the same topic of the US economy that I addressed yesterday. But I want to go a bit deeper and add more colour to my comments. Signs that the US economy’s cyclical outlook are improving are getting ever more numerous, especially when we […]
FYI: After the tech links, there is at least one link in this lot that I do not endorse but do think is required reading. Android crypto blunder exposes users to highly privileged malware | Ars Technica Tor received $1.8 million in US federal funds last year, while the NSA tried to crack it | The Verge Twitter’s Big Second […]
The bottom line here is that I have been and still am bullish on the cyclical prospects in the US, UK and Spain in particular. The US jobless claims numbers are unusually low and that tells you that slack in the labour market is declining. Moreover, we are likely to see inventory builds here, adding to more momentum. Nonetheless, I do have two caveats for the US.