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Bill Gross has a must-read piece out for his monthly Investment Outlook called “Midnight Candles.” He begins the piece with allusions to his advancing years (Gross is now 65) and the mortality he feels because of it – pretty sobering stuff. gross then abruptly segues into his investment outlook, leaving one with the distinct impression [...]
stocks's tag archives
Bill Gross: “almost all assets appear to be overvalued on a long-term basis”
Oct
Jeremy Grantham: The market is 25% overvalued; 15% correction coming
Oct
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Jeremy Grantham is out with his much anticipated Quarterly Letter and it’s a good one. “Just Deserts and Markets Being Silly Again” is a cutting, snarling, and sarcastic rejection of the prevailing V-shaped recovery bull market view. But Grantham is far from ultra-bearish, giving a more nuanced and realistic assessment for the medium and longer-term.
He [...]
Why is Zero Hedge claiming the Fed is intervening in equities markets?
Oct
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I just came across a post on Zero Hedge called “An Overview Of The Fed’s Intervention In Equity Markets Via The Primary Dealer Credit Facility.” Now, that’s a mouthful. As far as I can discern, the post’s purpose is to expose alleged equities market manipulation by the Federal Reserve. However, I found the argument rather [...]
Back to the future: Rosenberg says it’s like the crisis never happened
Oct
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In today’s morning with Dave article, Gluskin Sheff’s Chief Economist and Strategist says the macro environment makes it look like 2007 all over again – as if the crisis never happened.
It’s like 2008 and early 2009 never happened. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index just hit a 14-month high as the island benefits from Chinese growth, [...]
Roger Bootle on banking: “they’re not competitive markets”
Oct
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Roger Bootle sat down with the Telegraph and ran through a few themes in regards to the stock market, the financial crisis, government debt, currencies and compensation in the financial sector. He has a lot to say, in particular on banks, which he argues do not operate in competitive markets – one reason they pay [...]
On Meredith Whitney’s Goldman downgrade
Oct
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Meredith Whitney downgraded Goldman Sachs from ‘buy’ to ‘neutral’ today. Previously, Goldman had been her only buy recommended stock, all of the others rated neutral or ‘sell.’ Why did she do it?
FT Alphaville has the answer:
We are downgrading shares of Goldman Sachs to Neutral from Buy after over a 34% run in price since their [...]
Household debt as an indicator of secular bull and bear markets
Oct
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In my last post, I presented you with a bunch of data on debt levels broken down by sector of the economy (see “A brief look at the Asset-Based Economy at economic turns”). I found it interesting that a secular pattern seemed to be at play when looking at the household debt charts.
Notice the three [...]
Gold hits all-time record high
Oct
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Gold hit a record high of $1,044.30 an ounce, beating the previous record of $1,032.35 set back in March and up a monster $26 on the day. The impetus is the crashing dollar, brought down by a report (later denied) that OPEC states and the Chinese were organizing a secret abandonment of the US dollar [...]
Unemployment numbers still point to partial recovery
Oct
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In July, I blogged on an interesting take on how employment affects equity returns during cyclical recoveries by Van Hoisington and Lacy Hunt. Their thesis was that a recovery in which employment lags the overall upturn significantly is bearish for stocks. Since then, employment has indeed lagged other economic indicators. Witness the most recent employment [...]
Faber: Gloom, Boom or Doom?
Sep
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How about all three. Faber released another provocative newsletter this month that has a little grist for investor of all stripes.
Boom. His short-term outlook is bullish because he believes money-printing will underpin the market even after the 60% increase in the S&P 500 from March 2009 lows. This puts him in the same camp [...]
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