After a huge fall off in credit consistent with the fall in nominal GDP, we are seeing credit stabilise at a lower level. Debt to GDP ratios may not be lower, but as GDP is lower, so too is credit in the system.  Yet there is a large difference between the haves and the have-nots, [...]

You are a teacher at a local primary school. Each school day you and some of your colleagues watch over the children at the school playground to make sure all of the children follow the rules and keep their hands to themselves. Your role is to keep the children safe. Mind you, this is a [...]

We are a few weeks into earnings season and it should be abundantly clear that financial institutions are firing on all cylinders.  In fact, financials are leading the broader market for the first time since 1993.  Yet, loan losses have been absolutely enormous.  What gives?
The Great Giveaway is the essence of recent market performance in [...]

The Bloomberg video below makes it seem that Whitney believes the stress tests are a sham. She says the tests are a theoretical exercise whereby banks ask: “what will our earnings power be in two years after we sell off these ‘toxic’ assets?” She goes on to suggest that the answer to this question [...]

Recently, I posted a Wall Street Journal article that suggested smaller banks and new banking enterprise can supply the lion’s share of additional credit needed for the U.S. banking system. While President Obama is off meeting the heads of the big banks, we should keep in mind that there are other institutions out there [...]

As you know from reading my blog, I am expecting a lot of writedowns from regional banks as real estate loans sour.

In fact, I expect a number of bankruptcies because of defaults in commercial real estate where much exposure is hidden. Below is a clip of Bain Slack of Keefe Bruyette & Woods, who has a few words to say about the regionals, especially in the Southwest.

Take a look.

This past weekend, the FDIC closed yet another bank, Freedom Bank of Bradenton, Florida. The bank had total assets of $287 million and total deposits of $254 million. Super regional Fifth Third, based in Cincinnati, Ohio will take over the insured deposits of the institution and all Freedom branches have opened today as [...]

As with everything else, the bailout of the U.S. banking system is going to have unintended consequences. One of them seems to be giving exactly those firms that wasted billions of shareholder money a chance to double down. Flush with government money, these busted financial companies may just go on a shopping spree [...]

PNC, down only 13% this year-to-date, very good for a bank stock, is acquiring beleaguered Ohio bank NCC for $5.5 billion. The price represents a huge discount to the prevailing market price before open today and NCC was down 34% in early trading. PNC is issuing $7.7 billion in stock and warrants to the [...]

Spanish banking giant Banco Santander has pulled through the credit crisis with a much higher profile than ever before. I was initially skeptical that the firm was hiding huge losses at it had exposure in Spain, the UK and the US, all terrible bubble markets. Yet, it has seemed to come through swimmingly [...]