Post Tagged with: "predictions"

market-analysis

Biggest highlights from Barron’s Roundtable

Here are the comments I found the most interesting from the first part of this year’s Barron’s Investing Roundtable interview which was published today

Robot

The Bifurcated Society

There is less mobility in the work force because the computers are not simply displacing jobs, they are taking out the middle. Because they take out the middle, it is a lot harder to pursue the American dream by working your way up the ladder

Bank Economist Forecast Germany Q1 2012

Forecasting recession in Germany

While Germany has done well of late, it was crushed by the downturn in 2008 and has an economy highly levered to external macro shocks since exports is a very large percentage of German GDP. German macro economists are forecasting recession for

Federal Reserve

The Fed’s definition of “clarity” is not like yours or mine

Each member will be asked to give a number for what they think the interest rate will be at the end of this year, the end of next few years and also in the long run. Won’t it be confusing to have 12 different predictions for this

Surprise

Edward Harrison’s Ten Surprises for 2012

Welcome to Credit Writedowns Pro. This is the first post in a series here. Let me start this Byron Wien-style and make a predictions list. Wien defines his surprises as events to which investors assign 1-in-3 odds of happening but which he believes have a more than 50 percent likelihood of occurring in 2012. That’s how I am playing it too