AIG: the biggest quarterly loss in corporate history

A massive $61.7 billion loss for AIG – that is the quarterly loss for the insurance giant, a record for the world. That comes to a loss of $465 $465,000 every minute of every day in that quarter. The full-year loss comes in over $100 billion.

Nevertheless, the U.S. Government sees AIG as a systemically-important company due to its involvement in the Credit Default Swaps market. Therefore, it has decided to up the ante and continue providing this company with tens of billions more in liquidity.

As I have indicated in a previous post, bailouts are the worst of all potential policy responses. These are large sums that I believe the American people will not support. Either Americans are an incredibly docile lot or we are about to see a sea change in taxpayers’ attitude.

Read below for the details of the losses and bailout

My take on the latest Citigroup bailout

The big news other than GDP falling off a cliff is the confirmation that the Obama Administration is going to bail out Citigroup for a third time.  The market reaction this morning was quite negative, causing index futures to sell off even before the GDP number hit the tape.  Citigroup itself dropped as much as

Did Sweden really nationalize its banks?

Since everyone seems to be talking about nationalization and pointing to Sweden as a model for the future, one should ask whether Sweden actually nationalized anything. No one is talking about outright Hugo Chavez-style expropriation here. The only nationalization I see is what was done in the case of AIG and we know where that led.

I certainly believe the knee-jerk reaction against the ‘N’ word, as Barry Ritholtz calls it, is overwrought and have suggested we dub it pre-privatization. After all, didn’t the word recession come into existence for similar reasons — fear of the ‘D’ word depression.

Back in August, I pointed to Sweden as a model as well. You can read the post, “The Swedish banking crisis response – a model for the future?.” But, the Peterson Institute also has a fine post by Anders Aslund on what really happened in Sweden and it was not nationalization.

Here’s a bit of what he had to say

America needs a pre-privatization plan

UPDATE: This is another re-post given the huge bailout just administered to AIG.

I am coming out in favor of nationalization in the United States. The efforts to fix the banking system to date have failed. As a result, America is still threatened by the menace of systemic risk. In my view, this risk can only be diminished significantly by ‘pre-privatizing’ large, bankrupt institutions. I am talking about temporary nationalization of a few institutions rather than a wholesale longer-term government ownership of the banking sector. I will often use the word ‘pre-privatization’ because the word nationalization conjures up a Hugo Chavez-style asset confiscation which I believe is not accurate and clouds the picture.

Through the pre-privatization of large institutions which are effectively insolvent, trust will be restored, asset prices will find a natural equilibrium level and prudent lending can commence once again. By resisting pre-privatization in any and all forms, the Obama Administration is setting itself up for failure. In that scenario, President Obama might end up looking a lot more like Herbert Hoover than Franklin Roosevelt in American history books

Nationalization talk everywhere

Everybody is talking about nationalization. The latest trigger is the Citi discussions with the U.S. government to convert taxpayers’ preferred shares into common equity.

Below are a few Bloomberg video clips from just this morning where experts including Marc Faber, Peter Hahn and Bloomberg’s Tom Keene talk about nationalization. It is a very controversial issue. Hopefully, these clips will give you different viewpoints on the subject

Citi: looking for as much as a 40% stake from the government

This news is just in from the Wall Street Journal. Obviously, all of the activity we have seen with Citi’s foreign subsidiaries of late has been in preparation for sale or nationalization. I expect this to be the big news when markets open tomorrow. Note: this will mean massive dilution for shareholders, so it is

Yves Smith: Nationalization is what the FDIC is doing every week

Naked Capitalism’s Yves Smith was on Fast Money at CNBC yesterday. She made a number of good points regarding the discussion on nationalization. One that particularly resonated with me was her assertion that the United States is nationalizing one, two or three banks every Friday through the FDIC (see list here)

Meredith Whitney says nationalization is wrong and banks will lose money

Meredith Whitney, the well-known former Oppenheimer analyst had some interesting words to say on CNBC about the banking sector, nationalization, dividends and Citigroup. Take a look

HBOS and RBS get a right bollocking

I watched the proceedings of the UK Treasury Committee with HBOS and RBS this morning on Bloomberg UK TV and it was a dismal sight. It had the feel of the Nuremburg trials, honestly. The clip below doesn’t do justice to how tense the atmosphere was.

I will say this: these men from HBOS and RBS ran very aggressive organizations, piling in to all manner of risk at the top of the market. While they dissemble and prevaricate, it is plainly obvious that they did not see the risks in their actions, nor did they want to

Ireland nationalizes Anglo Irish bank

The Irish government scrapped a planned recapitalization of Anglo Irish Bank and moved straight to full nationalization. While some may view this as a necessary move to shore up a troubled institution, I see this as ominous news because the Irish banking system is systemically weak and subject to a potential collapse along the lines of Iceland

Germany partially nationalizes second-largest bank

This news of German goverment capital infusions at Commerzbank comes from the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung in Germany. You will recall that Commerzbank was the winner in the bid to buy Dresdner Bank just a few months ago. However, this merger cannt proceed without a capital infusion from the government

European banking collapse including nationalisation of three banks

UPDATE: 9:30 AM ET: This post has been updated to reflect the events surrounding Fortis. On Friday, I warned that European government officials like Peer Steinbrück of Germany should refrain from chastising the U.S. and the U.K. over problems in banking. After all, Europe is next. At the weekend, the fireworks in Europe began in