In a shocking news story, the Wall Street Journal reports that the media company Tribune Company, which publishes the Chicago Tribune, is exploring bankruptcy. While advertising revenue has contracted significantly, impacting all major media companies, it was not expected that this would lead to bankruptcy. Below is a snippet of the Journal story.
Tribune Co. is [...]
loans and lending's tag archives
Chicago Tribune near bankruptcy
Dec
Why I am bearish on the U.S. Dollar
Dec
The U.S. Dollar has been holding up quite nicely during this credit crisis. In fact, it rallied significantly from deeply oversold levels against the Euro and British Pound (remember Dollar-Euro at 1.60 and Dollar-Pound at 2.10?). However, America has a number of structural problems which will inhibit further appreciation. Moreover, former buyers of U.S. Treasuries in the Middle East and Asia are going to have domestic economic worries of their own very shortly and will not be supporting U.S. assets. This means that the Dollar will be a weak currency in the not too distant future.
1,057 views
Stephen Roach: Americans’ abandonment of overconsumption is a good thing
Nov
Stephen Roach must feel a certain sense of Schadenfreude because he has been warning since the end of the Technology Bubble that U.S. monetary policy was reckless and would end in a very bad way. The bubble reached heights few anticipated, making Roach seem like a Cassandra for a number of years. However, now that the bubble has burst and his economic predictions have proven right, we would be well advised to listen to him regarding where the global economy is now headed.
755 views
China is now America’s largest creditor
Nov
America is the largest debtor nation in history. And given the economic weakness in the global economy right now, the debt load is likely to get worse. Recently, China surpassed Japan to become America’s largest creditor.
The Chinese, who rank a mere 100th in per capita income, save so much money that they are [...]
Glencore: A Swiss giant on the edge
Nov
I caught a post today on the Swiss Blog Zeitenwende about Glencore, the Swiss corporate giant, which should reinforce the fact that this credit crisis is far from over. As the original post was in German, I have translated it into English below:
If Charts could speak, what would the following one tell us then? [...]
Peter Schiff: they laughed at him, now he’s laughing back
Nov
I have been tied up with other activities all day today. But, I just had to send this post on Peter Schiff. My brother-in-law sent me this video a second ago of Schiff predicting doom and gloom on YouTube. And it’s actually kind of funny to look back and see what he was saying in 2006 and 2007 and how he was pilloried. His calls were uncannily right on the money.
Reverse carry trade borrowing is deadly
Oct
By now, you are familiar with the carry trade, where one borrows in one’s own currency in order to invest in higher yielding foreign assets, often times with significant leverage. The Japanese were famous for making this trade in Australian Dollars, U.S. Dollars, you name it.
What a lot of people don’t realize that everyone [...]
519 views
Massive short covering at VW and massive losses for hedgies
Oct
I ran across a very disturbing news item today that is getting a lot of press in Germany. Apparently, the leveraged finance community is getting routed at the German Automaker VW. The crux of the situation is that Porsche, which controls VW, upped its stake in the company causing shares to rise. [...]
Forced liquidation
Oct
The recent movement in global markets has me scratching my head a bit. You have people dumping gold and the Swiss Franc in order to invest in the U.S. dollar and Treasury securities. Everyone says it is a flight to quality. I do not agree. Logic has it that the U.S., [...]
73 views
Dollar strength is an illusion
Oct
I have felt for sometime that dollar strength is a counter-trend that has a sell-by date written all over it. You see, the Federal Reserve is ballooning its balance sheet like nobody’s business as it tries to be the global lender of last resort. This is very inflationary. Apparently, the Fed wants to [...]
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