Post Tagged with: "jobs"
Nonlinear Thinking: Smartphone Ultrasound Imaging
Stunning! Guess it’s time for our annual physical with Dr. iPhone
Jobless claims jump may be seasonality
I thought I would flag this for paid members. The jobless claims data for the last week came out and it jumped fairly significantly from 375,000 to 399,000. It had been in the 375,000 range for a number of weeks prior
Chart of the Day: Greek workers work 48% more hours than Germans
While many will be initially surprised by the data, on reflection it makes intuitive sense. In crude terms, wealthier countries typically work smarter–more capital intensively–than poor countries, not longer
Mosler: I advocate tax relief and jobs, but forecast muddle through at best
Warren Mosler proposes a full FICA suspension, a $150 billion one time distribution to the states and an $8/hr federally funded transition job for anyone willing and able to work. However he believes these proposals will likely not be followed and predicts muddle through at best as a result
The Job Guarantee, Kleptocracy and Blogging
A post about the job guarantee idea in the context of a historic economic crisis
Is MMT’s Job Guarantee Crucial?
Pavlina Tcherneva argues that the job guarantee is not just an afterthought to MMT but a crucial component that has so far offered the most coherent counter-cyclical economic stabilizing mechanism
Everyone is talking seasonality
Here is something to flag; there has been a lot of chatter amongst economic pundits about the seasonality effect on recent data. Those with a sceptical view have been saying that the upside surprise in the Friday jobs data in particular is the result of seasonal factors. Here are two examples
Monetary and Fiscal Policy for Sovereign Currencies
This week we begin a new topic: functional finance. This will occupy us for the next several blog posts. Today we will lay out Abba Lerner’s approach to policy
If no trade reversal now, then when?
The best resolution, and the one Keynes urged without success on the US in the 1920s and 1930s, is that Germany take steps to reverse its trade surplus. It could boost disposable household income and household consumption by cutting income and consumption taxes. If Germany imposes austerity, unemployment will force the peripheral countries into the unenviable choice either of absorbing that surge in unemployment themselves, or of forcing the unemployment back onto the core countries by abandoning the currency that is at the heart of their lack of competitiveness
The fireworks will start with Spain or Italy
Here’s what I had to say about Europe on Capital Account with Lauren Lyster on Thursday night. I’m not bullish on the real economy there (but I still expect relative share outperformance due to lower P/Es). The US is having a bit of a data surge to the upside: housing, employment, manufacturing, all of these numbers have been better of late
Jobs Report January 2012
The US is a continental country, meaning that its economy is mostly domestic with only a small percentage coming from outside via trade. That makes the US much less beholden to external demand than countries like Germany that are export-led. That said, I still see the odds of a recession in 2012 as high given the global backdrop
Beyond Jobs
The US jobs report is the main economic release today. In recent months, better than expected employment reports have spurred risk on trading and this has been dollar negative. Given the ADP report, despite the December skew in that time series, market expectations appear to have crept higher and it will take a stronger than expected number of give the dollar much of a lift. However, with Spanish and Italian bond auctions next week, the extent of a relief rally in the euro may be constrained