Share
If I could relate the concept of malinvestment to business administration I would do it using the concept of depreciation.
Depreciation is a term used in accounting and business to represent a writedown of a real asset on a company’s balance sheet to reflect its actual depreciation in value. If you build a building, it [...]
investment's tag archives
On depreciation, malinvestment and GDP as a gross number
Feb
Think outside the box: ten outrageous predictions for 2010
Dec
Share
Just like last year, I am going to present the list of ten outrageous predictions from Denmark’s Saxo Bank. When I presented the list in 2008, I gave the following disclaimer:
Their list is outlandish — and I’ll get to it in a moment. But, first, I want to say these predictions serve a very useful [...]
Morgan Stanley expects 10-year yields to rise 220 bps in 2010
Nov
Share
Morgan Stanley’s piece on Treasuries Priced for Perfection…for Now! is pretty bearish. The basic gist is that while the ten-year represents fair value today, because inflation expectations have become unanchored, Morgan Stanley expects the yield to rise from 3.3% to 5.5%. That’s a disaster of 1994 proportions. Obviously, given some of my recent comments, this [...]
Credit Suisse cautious on Citigroup due to regulatory hurdles
Nov
Share
Credit Suisse has a note out urging caution on Citigroup shares due to regulatory hurdles. Their logic bears noting as it can be useful for other U.S.-based banks.
On Monday the CS analysts met with Citi management, who were somewhat cautious. The CS note indicates that regulatory changes in the U.S. are likely to mandate higher [...]
Meredith Whitney: “I haven’t been this bearish in a year”
Nov
Share
Below is a CNBC video with Meredith Whitney in which she joins Nouriel Roubini on the doom and gloom parade. Over the summer, both Whitney and Roubini were fairly optimistic. In June I said:
Think of the consensus forecast as an anchor which restricts the outlook of any individual forecaster afraid of failing unconventionally.
In Roubini’s case [...]
Marc Faber: "I don’t think that you’ll see gold below $1,000 per ounce probably ever"
Nov
Share
Marc Faber is in a bullish mindset, particularly on gold. In a wide-ranging interview with CNBC TV-18 in India, Faber talked about where he sees markets headed and why he thinks gold will never drop below $1,000 an ounce.
Private sector contracting while public sector expanding
This is the frame that Marc Faber puts on recent events [...]
Get in the market before it’s too late
Nov
Share
Just arrived in my inbox:
If you want to know what market momentum is all about, here you have it. Get in now to profit.
Sources
Bill Gross Calls High-Yield Corporate Debt `Overvalued’: Video (video here) – Bloomberg
Chanos says dump munis as distress mounts and ratings attacked
Nov
Share
I have really started to dislike municipal bonds as an asset class. They have seen a huge rally along with almost every other financial asset but the underlying fundamentals are weak because of financial distress at states and municipalities.
Last week, I wrote a first piece on this topic, based on some work by Philip Greenspun [...]
Whitney Tilson: "A pullback of some sort is likely"
Nov
Share
Tilson is saying what I have been saying, namely that March saw an increased number of attractive buys, but most of these are now fully priced. As a result, he is selling equities – even building up his net short positions.
Unlike bear turned bull Richard Bernstein, Tilson says that after a huge 60%+ run [...]
The coming collapse of the municipal bond market
Nov
Share
Why aren’t more municipal bonds being downgraded by the ratings agencies Fitch, Moody’s and S&P? If you look at sovereign debt in revenue-constrained countries like Greece, Portugal or Ireland, the ratings agencies are issuing warnings.
But, states and municipalities are suffering from the same revenue constraints. Tax revenues have plunged. Governments have shut down services [...]
Subscribe
Search
Random Quote
- “Like gold, U.S. dollars have value only to the extent that they are strictly limited in supply. But the U.S. government has a technology, called a printing press (or, today, its electronic equivalent), that allows it to produce as many U.S. dollars as it wishes at essentially no cost. By increasing the number of U.S. dollars in circulation, or even by credibly threatening to do so, the U.S. government can also reduce the value of a dollar in terms of goods and services, which is equivalent to raising the prices in dollars of those goods and services. We conclude that, under a paper-money system, a determined government can always generate higher spending and hence positive inflation.
Of course, the U.S. government is not going to print money and distribute it willy-nilly (although as we will see later, there are practical policies that approximate this behavior).”
-- Ben Bernanke, National Economists Club, Washington, D.C. November 21, 2002 Federal Reserve
Polls
- Sorry, there are no polls available at the moment.
Recent Posts
- Chinese protectionist flashback
- The politicization of economic problems
- This is the problem with China’s currency peg
- Possible Shift in Germany's Position on Greece Supports Dollar
- Links: 2010-03-18 – Overheating in Asia and more on China
- Germany backtracking on IMF involvement in Greece
- Bank Fraud 101: How to Rob A Bank
- Mortgage fraud indictments result from media investigation
- Can external pressure precipitate change in a command economy like China?
- Sterling, Antipodeans Lead Foreign Currencies Higher vs. US Dollar
Tweet Blender
- edwardnh: Problems in an NYT Column : Ryan Chittum - CJR: This is on the Lehman whistleblower http://bit.ly/aUPpAi $$
17 minutes agoedwardnh: Police arrest Anglo Irish Bank's former chairman | Reuters: http://bit.ly/9F47f8 $$
17 minutes agoedwardnh: Chinese protectionist flashback http://bit.ly/b50qli #China #forex #populism $$
2 hours agoedwardnh: Stagflation Versus Hyperinflation - Paul Krugman Blog - NYTimes.com: http://nyti.ms/deJ71E $$
6 hours agoedwardnh: Mortgage-modification program has major flaws - MarketWatch: http://bit.ly/d449H0 $$
7 hours ago
Blog Rating
Average blog rating:
9.3
417 votes cast for 206 posts
Tip Jar
Research
Casey Research: Sooner or Later, You’ll Invest Abroad
Casey Research: Will Obama Destroy Any Hope of U.S. Energy Independence?
Casey Research: An Insider’s View of the Real Estate Train Wreck
Casey Research: Vintage Wine Turns Sour for Financiers
Casey Research: What’s a Company's Gold Worth?
Casey Research: The Other Oil Play You Simply Can't Ignore
INO: A Quick Peek at Crude Oil
INO: Make Some Sense of Today's Gold Market
Resources
Popular Posts
- Strategic default: In come the waves again
- Germany backtracking on IMF involvement in Greece
- Links: 2010-03-13 – Fed’s Lehman Repos, States may hold onto tax refunds
- Retail Sales Much Stronger than Expected
- Chart of the Day: Financial, Household and Government Debt-to-GDP ratios
- The Economy's Vicious Cycle for Michigan Banks and Business
- Serious Problems Emerge For The F-UK-DE Group of Countries
- Dollar Declines Amidst More Speculation of a Greek Bailout
- German Exports and that Looming Double Dip
- Is China in a bubble blow-off top like Japan post-Plaza accord?
Most Viewed
- Credit Crisis Timeline
- Switzerland threatened with bankruptcy
- Letterman’s Top 10 George Bush moments
- Is the State of California bankrupt?
- The Dummy’s Guide to the US Banking Crisis
- Marc Faber: I advise every American to hold his gold outside of the United States
- Top ten predictions for the 2009 global economy
- Byron Wien: Ten Surprises for 2009
- Chart of the day: Dow 1928-1932
- The recession is over but the depression has just begun
- The Swedish banking crisis response – a model for the future?
- Quantitative easing: printing money like mad to ward off deflation
- About
- The top 25 European banks by assets
- Lehman Brothers: a primer on Credit Default Swaps
- Marc Faber: China’s numbers are fake
- California will go bankrupt
- Chart of the day: Total US Debt
- Currency crisis is gathering storm
- The TED Spread
Highest Rating
Is the recession dating committee preparing for a double dip? (4 votes)
New York Times caught copying financial blogs (4 votes)
The mindset will not change; a depressionary relapse may be coming (13 votes)
The recession is over but the depression has just begun (5 votes)
The Fake Recovery (5 votes)
Readers of this blog expect the recession to last redux (5 votes)
Randall Wray: Fire Geithner Now! (4 votes)
The Age of the Fiat Currency: A 38-year experiment in inflation (4 votes)
On the sovereign debt crisis and the debt servicing cost mentality (3 votes)
Bill Black and The Federal Reserve’s War Against Effective Regulation (3 votes)
Translate
- Powered by Google Translate.




