How about all three. Faber released another provocative newsletter this month that has a little grist for investor of all stripes.
Boom. His short-term outlook is bullish because he believes money-printing will underpin the market even after the 60% increase in the S&P 500 from March 2009 lows. This puts him in the same camp [...]
investing's tag archives
Faber: Gloom, Boom or Doom?
Sep
Bill Gross: Sell equities and buy Treasuries
Sep
Bill Gross is a bond man. In fact, he is often called the “Bond King” because Pimco, the organization where he is founder and Co-Chief Investment Officer, is the largest bond fund in the world. In Bondland, what Gross says has a lot of weight.
And Gross has been talking about a “new normal” of deleveraging, [...]
Guest post: Regulation in Defense of Capitalism
Sep
The following post appeared on Wednesday at Rick Bookstaber’s new blog. Bookstaber is a market veteran who has long and storied history of achievement. He worked at Bridgewater Associates, ran the Quantitative Equity Fund at FrontPoint Partners and was in charge of risk management at Moore Capital Management amongst other things.
Of particular relevance here, Bookstaber [...]
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Way too much risk in the equity market
Sep
Following up on my “Sell equities” post, I want to highlight a factoid from today’s David Rosenberg’s Breakfast with Dave distribution.
Never before has the S&P 500 rallied 60% from a low in such a short time frame as six months. And never before have we seen the S&P 500 rally 60% over an interval in [...]
Sell equities
Sep
In late August, I wrote a post called “Getting bearish again” in which I said that the bear market rally I had anticipated back in March was long in the tooth. At the time, I mentioned 1026 on the S&P 500 as a sell signal. With the S&P 500 now well over 1060 and gains [...]
Kass: Bearish on equities
Sep
This comes via TheStreet.com and Doug Kass, a noted market strategist:
Many strategists (both bullish and bearish) assume that a fair value P/E multiple — based on interest rates and inflation — rests at about 15.5 times. Averaging the 2009 and 2010 S&P consensus forecasts produces a melded $67.50 S&P EPS, a year-end target of 1045 [...]
Selling the good news does not a bull market make
Sep
So we started September in an ugly way. With the markets down 2% across the board, and oil and bond yields also falling. Forgive me for thinking this is a bad sign, but selling on good news doesn’t sound very bullish.
And the ISM data definitely was bullish. Production 61.9 – Yay! New orders [...]
Getting bearish again
Aug
You have probably noticed a change in tone at Credit Writedowns since about June, but a lot more in the past month or so. Once mildly bullish due to the deeply oversold levels this Spring, I have become increasingly alarmed at the unjustified strength of the recent market rally.
My most recent post explaining my concern, [...]
China cuts holding of U.S. Treasury securities
Aug
The conventional wisdom is that the US is beholden to foreign agents as they hold much of the US government debt. In this view, if these agents sell their securities, interest rates in America should increase as demand for US public debt evaporates.
Now comes evidence that China is indeed selling. The BBC reports.
China reduced its [...]
Discerning a real from a fake, technical, statistical, or partial recovery
Aug
Right now many economists believe the US economy is poised for recovery. Even I believe the economy will recover by year’s end. But for the man in the street, things hardly look like a recovery right now. Harried by falling house prices, foreclosure and lost employment, the US consumer is over-indebted and has run out [...]
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