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China is holding its own in regards to economic growth because the government is pumping massive amounts of government money into the economy in order to make up for the loss in trade. What does this mean for China, Chinese shares and the global economy?
The Bloomberg video below makes the bullish case for China and [...]
international's tag archives
China’s $600 billion stimulus package will yield results
Apr
Spain begs to be at upcoming G-20, Brazil says no
Apr
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We are starting to get a sense of who the winners and losers of the Great Unraveling are. Spain is definitely a loser.
Just think, a few years ago Spain was the envy of Western Europe with a dynamic and booming property market and prodigious GDP growth. The country was THE holiday-maker’s paradise, with many buying [...]
A conversation with Brent Scowcroft on Charlie Rose
Apr
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George H. W. Bush’s National Security Advisor talks with Charlie Rose and Carlos Pascual, Brookings Institute vice president and director of Foreign Policy. They opine on “the Obama Doctrine” as Barack Obama nears his 100-day mark in office.
Is South Korea de-coupling?
Apr
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This past week, I caught an article in Wirschaftswoche (WiWo), the German Business Week, which suggested that the South Koreans were very confident about their economy and had learned from the Asian Crisis.
Just today, the South Koreans released GDP numbers that many would find amazing, showing that the economy grew 0.1% in the first quarter [...]
An hour with Mikhail Gorbachev and George Shultz on Charlie Rose
Apr
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The Cult of Zero Imbalances
Apr
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Marshall Auerback here with a few thoughts about this economic cycle, external imbalances, fiscal stimulus, and current account deficits.
This is not the Great Depression. We are going to have “muddle through” here precisely because we lack the courage to deficit spend on the magnitude we did in World War II. We are spending too much [...]
G-20: China is clearly looking for a new world order
Apr
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I don’t want to beat a dead horse here, but the Chinese have been making a lot of muscular moves diplomatically. While shifts in balance of power often take decades, it is increasingly apparent that China is making a strategic move in that direction right now.
We have been chronicling these moves here in a [...]
More thoughts on quantitative easing from Morgan Stanley
Mar
The following post is up on Morgan Stanley’s website and highlights the degree to which money printing has become the policy tool of choice used by central bankers with which to fight this deflationary threat. I have highlighted the whole paragraph on the inflationary risk of all of this.
China wants to get rid of the dollar
Mar
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This comes via the Financial Times (Hat tip CR):
China’s central bank on Monday proposed replacing the US dollar as the international reserve currency with a new global system controlled by the International Monetary Fund.
In an essay posted on the People’s Bank of China’s website, Zhou Xiaochuan, the central bank’s governor, said the goal would be [...]
Steve Coll talks Pakistan with Charlie Rose
Mar
If you have noticed, Pakistan is in a real state of crisis right now. Given the fact that this country is both unstable and possesses nuclear weapons courtesy of A. Q. Khan, it stands to reason that everyone should be interested. The fact that it has a border with Afghanistan only makes things that much more urgent.
In this video on Charlie Rose, Steve Coll of the “New Yorker” discusses Pakistan with Joe Klein, Hasain Haqqani, Director of the Center for International Relations and Professor at Boston University, and Imtiaz Ali.
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- “Clearly, sustained low inflation implies less uncertainty about the future, and lower risk premiums imply higher prices of stocks and other earning assets. We can see that in the inverse relationship exhibited by price/earnings ratios and the rate of inflation in the past. But how do we know when irrational exuberance has unduly escalated asset values, which then become subject to unexpected and prolonged contractions as they have in Japan over the past decade? And how do we factor that assessment into monetary policy? We as central bankers need not be concerned if a collapsing financial asset bubble does not threaten to impair the real economy, its production, jobs, and price stability. Indeed, the sharp stock market break of 1987 had few negative consequences for the economy. But we should not underestimate or become complacent about the complexity of the interactions of asset markets and the economy. Thus, evaluating shifts in balance sheets generally, and in asset prices particularly, must be an integral part of the development of monetary policy.”
-- Alan Greenspan, American Enterprise Institute, Dec. 1996 Federal Reserve
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