ShareThis morning Chris Whalen made some comments on CNBC that hit the nail on the head regarding the U.S. banking crisis: there is a huge wave of old-fashioned loan losses coming down the pike. The writedowns we have seen to date are largely confined to tradeable securities that must be marked to market.
There [...]

ShareI named my blog “Credit Writedowns” because I anticipated an historic wave of credit writedowns in the global banking system which would lead to a wave of deleveraging, systemic risk, and bank failures — in short, a massive financial and economic bust to rival the Great Depression.
Up until now I have masked this dire [...]

ShareBack in June, I wrote about financial investors in bank shares having lost $10 billion. Then, I predicted that losses would mount and bank shares will fall. It seems that one part of that equation is true already as bank shares have fallen precipitously in the last several days on the heels of [...]

ShareThe Washington Post has a story on regional and healthy banks that I highly recommend. Essentially, we are past the first wave of writedowns and are moving into phase two where it won’t be about derivatives and RMBS’s as much as underlying loan losses and collateral damage in commercial property and construction loans. [...]

ShareFrom Bloomberg News:
Regional Banks Tumble
Zions, the lender with operations in 10 Western U.S. states, tumbled 10 percent to $33.44 for the steepest decline in the S&P 500. “Weakness” in residential construction and land values in the Southwest will harm loans and is “expected to persist into 2009,” the lender said in a presentation attached to [...]

ShareRegional banks have not suffered the writedowns suffered by the major banks and investment banks due to their lack of derivatives exposure. But, loose lending standards are starting to bite. The LA Times has an excellent story out, which details how the community or regional banks will be affected by the housing slowdown. [...]

ShareThis morning, I posted a blog entry regarding KeyCorp’s wise decision to cut its dividend and to raise capital. They paid the price in the market today, sinking to a 17-year low below $12.00 a share and down 24% on the day.
Shares of KeyCorp sank to the lowest level in almost 17 years, following [...]

ShareI have posted a few times on the problem surrounding an imminent writedown wave for commercial real estate (CRE) and construction loans in the US. A few days back, I had intended to post more about regionals. The Wall Street Journal had a good article about this problem, singling out Wachovia and Bank of [...]

Share

ShareThe President of the Boston Fed, Eric Rosengren, has in effect said that small and regional banks are at risk in the next wave of writedowns for U.S. financial institutions. He sites construction loan exposure in particular as a place to worry. I give the story of small and regional exposure to construction [...]