Below is another great article from John Mauldin via his weekly newsletter.
John Mauldin, Best-Selling author and recognized financial expert, is also editor of the free Thoughts From the Frontline that goes to over 1 million readers each week. For more information on John or his FREE weekly economic letter go to:http://www.frontlinethoughts.com/learnmore
From ghoulies and ghosties [...]
bond investing's tag archives
Where the wild things are
Nov
Morgan Stanley expects 10-year yields to rise 220 bps in 2010
Nov
Morgan Stanley’s piece on Treasuries Priced for Perfection…for Now! is pretty bearish. The basic gist is that while the ten-year represents fair value today, because inflation expectations have become unanchored, Morgan Stanley expects the yield to rise from 3.3% to 5.5%. That’s a disaster of 1994 proportions. Obviously, given some of my recent comments, this [...]
404 views
Gross isn’t buying corporates, high yield or equities even with zero rates
Nov
I pick up Bill Gross where I left him on Friday. He said in his monthly newsletter that the Fed is going to keep interest rates at zero percent through 2010. But, he is not willing to stick his neck out in a liquidity seeking return kind of way even though this is what reflation [...]
1,243 views
If the U.S. stopped issuing treasuries, would it go broke?
Nov
Here’s another interesting piece from Randall Wray, the economics professor from University of Missouri-Kansas City (that same school which employs Bill Black of “The Best Way to Rob a bank is to own one” fame).
Wray has a lot to say most, but not all, of which I found convincing – but that’s a story for [...]
553 views
Bill Gross: Fed on hold through 2010
Nov
Bill Gross of Pimco spoke on Bloomberg with Tom Keene and Ken Prewitt. He thinks the U.S. is entering a new normal of low nominal GDP growth. However, financial bets have been made on 6-7 percent nominal GDP (think pension liabilities). Unless we get 5-6% nominal GDP growth debt deflation and deleveraging dynamics (the D-process)will [...]
626 views
Get in the market before it’s too late
Nov
Just arrived in my inbox:
If you want to know what market momentum is all about, here you have it. Get in now to profit.
Sources
Bill Gross Calls High-Yield Corporate Debt `Overvalued’: Video (video here) – Bloomberg
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Rosenberg: The Grinch who stole Christmas
Oct
This is a guest post from our newest contributor, Charles D. Bull.
Greetings Writedowners,
Ed has gone to bed already. This is Charles D. Bull speaking.
You know, my wife told me yesterday that the local shopping area already has the Christmas tree up and is all geared up to drum up holiday season sales. Shoppers were [...]
Bill Gross: “almost all assets appear to be overvalued on a long-term basis”
Oct
Bill Gross has a must-read piece out for his monthly Investment Outlook called “Midnight Candles.” He begins the piece with allusions to his advancing years (Gross is now 65) and the mortality he feels because of it – pretty sobering stuff. gross then abruptly segues into his investment outlook, leaving one with the distinct impression [...]
922 views
Jeremy Grantham: The market is 25% overvalued; 15% correction coming
Oct
Jeremy Grantham is out with his much anticipated Quarterly Letter and it’s a good one. “Just Deserts and Markets Being Silly Again” is a cutting, snarling, and sarcastic rejection of the prevailing V-shaped recovery bull market view. But Grantham is far from ultra-bearish, giving a more nuanced and realistic assessment for the medium and longer-term.
He [...]
4,324 views
High yield is back in business in Europe
Oct
I used to be a European High Yield guy. I was there when the market first took off in the late 1990s on the back of telecom plays like NTL or Telewest. I was also there when the Russian devaluation and default shut down the market. And I remember how the market tanked when the [...]
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