ShareFrom cuddly teddy bear, to growling starving bear, here is your bear market index, courtesy of FallStreet.com. Hat tip Scott.
bear market investing's tag archives
The Fall Street Bear Index
Jan
305 views
Double dip nightmares
Dec
ShareHat tip Tim Iacono.
Source
Editorial Cartoon by Karl Wimer, Denver Business Journal
335 views
Where the wild things are
Nov
ShareBelow is another great article from John Mauldin via his weekly newsletter.
John Mauldin, Best-Selling author and recognized financial expert, is also editor of the free Thoughts From the Frontline that goes to over 1 million readers each week. For more information on John or his FREE weekly economic letter go to:http://www.frontlinethoughts.com/learnmore
From ghoulies and ghosties [...]
Morgan Stanley expects 10-year yields to rise 220 bps in 2010
Nov
ShareMorgan Stanley’s piece on Treasuries Priced for Perfection…for Now! is pretty bearish. The basic gist is that while the ten-year represents fair value today, because inflation expectations have become unanchored, Morgan Stanley expects the yield to rise from 3.3% to 5.5%. That’s a disaster of 1994 proportions. Obviously, given some of my recent comments, this [...]
953 views
Meredith Whitney: “I haven’t been this bearish in a year”
Nov
ShareBelow is a CNBC video with Meredith Whitney in which she joins Nouriel Roubini on the doom and gloom parade. Over the summer, both Whitney and Roubini were fairly optimistic. In June I said:
Think of the consensus forecast as an anchor which restricts the outlook of any individual forecaster afraid of failing unconventionally.
In Roubini’s case [...]
Consumer confidence sinking
Nov
ShareFrom Bloomberg:
Confidence among U.S. consumers unexpectedly dropped in November as the loss of jobs threatened to undermine the biggest part of the economy.
The Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary sentiment index decreased to a three-month low of 66 from 70.6 in October…
Rising joblessness puts the economy at risk of slipping into a vicious circle of firings [...]
332 views
Chanos says dump munis as distress mounts and ratings attacked
Nov
ShareI have really started to dislike municipal bonds as an asset class. They have seen a huge rally along with almost every other financial asset but the underlying fundamentals are weak because of financial distress at states and municipalities.
Last week, I wrote a first piece on this topic, based on some work by Philip Greenspun [...]
2,344 views
Whitney Tilson: "A pullback of some sort is likely"
Nov
ShareTilson is saying what I have been saying, namely that March saw an increased number of attractive buys, but most of these are now fully priced. As a result, he is selling equities – even building up his net short positions.
Unlike bear turned bull Richard Bernstein, Tilson says that after a huge 60%+ run [...]
453 views
The collapse of commercial real estate
Nov
ShareThe long-coming commercial real estate bust has arrived in the U.S. and elsewhere, a result of sky-high prices met by a severe downturn. Prices could only work in a best-case economic scenario and large busts are now coming (see my posts on Stuyvesant Town and Capmark Financial).
This bust is certainly another major impediment to [...]
951 views
Wood warns of correction, says “key variable in the West is government policy”
Nov
ShareChristopher Wood, the well-noted market strategist at CLSA and writer of the classic Japan crash warning book “The Bubble Economy,” is now warning of a market correction in the West. According to CNBC India, Wood believes that the markets’ extreme upward move is increasing the chances of a major correction.
Wood is still cautious. He says [...]
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- “Keep telling yourself every night that you’re a long-term investor and don’t look at daily stock prices. And it’s not too late to shift some of your money to high-quality blue chips. Emerging markets are probably no longer too expensive either. If you had 80% of your stockholdings in blue chips and 20% in emerging markets, you’d have a pretty reasonable portfolio to ride out the bad times.”
-- Jeremy Grantham, 2009
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- edwardnh: @michaeljung: The @SmartMoney comment is not true. The labor force participation rate was up both SA and unadjusted.
4 days agoedwardnh: @SmartMoney actually that's not true on labor force. rate fell because of seasonal adjustments http://bit.ly/bzI1RR
4 days agoedwardnh: Unprecedented moral suasion from regulators on small businesses lending: Credit Writedowns http://bit.ly/avYp3H
4 days agoedwardnh: Chandler: Policy makers are repeating the mistakes of the 1930s: Credit Writedowns http://bit.ly/aZBjs6
4 days agoedwardnh: Just added two charts: Unemployment number decline is all about seasonal adjustments: Credit Writedowns http://bit.ly/bzI1RR
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