Comments on: Re-interpreting recession dating committee’s double-dip language for debt deflation dynamics

By: Edward Harrison

Edward Harrison — Fri, 29 Jan 2010 13:07:00 +0000

I have seen that series and have one or two others like inflation. This
data set certainly makes the downturn in 1929-33 seem a lot more sustained
than now, which is why I anticipate the dating committee will eventually
date the end of this past recession in Summer 2009.

Thanks, Marco.

By: Marco

Marco — Fri, 29 Jan 2010 13:04:00 +0000

In case this is helpful, month to month manufacturing data from 1919 should be available here if useful. http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/economic-time-series/data/frbg17/b00004_ipsa.aspx
Comparing it to current Services+Manuf might be appropriate.