http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/11/bullish-data-recoveries-crashes-and-the-psychology-of-forecasting-redux.html Finance, Economics and Markets Fri, 10 Feb 2012 00:37:00 +0000 hourly 1 http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/11/bullish-data-recoveries-crashes-and-the-psychology-of-forecasting-redux.html#comment-57497 Edward Harrison Tue, 03 Nov 2009 02:58:00 +0000 http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/11/bullish-data-recoveries-crashes-and-the-psychology-of-forecasting-redux.html#comment-57497 On the economic/financial side: A major spike in oil prices, a collapse OR spike in the U.S. dollar, longer-term double digit unemployment, stock market crash. On the political side: War or realized nuclear ambitions in Iran. These are probably the most well-known exogenous events that are risks. On the economic/financial side: A major spike in oil prices, a collapse OR spike in the U.S. dollar, longer-term double digit unemployment, stock market crash. On the political side: War or realized nuclear ambitions in Iran. These are probably the most well-known exogenous events that are risks.

]]> http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/11/bullish-data-recoveries-crashes-and-the-psychology-of-forecasting-redux.html#comment-57496 Francis from Belgium Mon, 02 Nov 2009 20:13:00 +0000 http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/11/bullish-data-recoveries-crashes-and-the-psychology-of-forecasting-redux.html#comment-57496 In your opinion what kind of event or situation could start the unravelling of the current carry trade? In your opinion what kind of event or situation could start the unravelling of the current carry trade?

]]> http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/11/bullish-data-recoveries-crashes-and-the-psychology-of-forecasting-redux.html#comment-57495 Francis from Belgium Mon, 02 Nov 2009 20:12:00 +0000 http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/11/bullish-data-recoveries-crashes-and-the-psychology-of-forecasting-redux.html#comment-57495 In your opinion what kind of event or situation could start the unravelling of the current carry trade? In your opinion what kind of event or situation could start the unravelling of the current carry trade?

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