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	<title>Comments on: Is 2009 tracking a 1930 Great Depression scenario?</title>
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		<title>By: Justin Case</title>
		<link>http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/06/is-2009-tracking-a-1930-great-depression-scenario.html/comment-page-1#comment-5768</link>
		<dc:creator>Justin Case</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 06 Jul 2009 18:52:20 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Everyone forgot the credit write downs and unemployment. It looks like the politicians just want to say it&#039;s a recovery. They want&lt;br&gt;to burry the bad stuff and look at only the good stuff. Real jerks. There&lt;br&gt;are a lot of people out there hurting. Some people have loss jobs, homes and assets. It&#039;s be going on since at least 2006 or 2005.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;The jerks are saying it&#039;s a recovery, it&#039;s a recovery.-All I can see is a recovery.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Meanwhile there are no jobs today and no jobs in the near future.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;The reason why we are here today is that politicians believe they&lt;br&gt;where blind sided. Everyone was trying to them them the truth&lt;br&gt;but they where in denial. Personal bankruptcy spike in 2005. Home&lt;br&gt;foreclosures in 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009. Company and retail forecloses&lt;br&gt;2008 and 2009. Many did not wake up until October 2008. It&#039;s&lt;br&gt;the same thing all over again. Politicians and government officials&lt;br&gt;asleep at the switch and in denial. They won&#039;t wake up until&lt;br&gt;they are swimming in mass poverty in 2010. A major portion of the&lt;br&gt;population is headed toward destitution. Educated people included.&lt;br&gt;Although the decline has slowed the trend in doward.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Everyone forgot the credit write downs and unemployment. It looks like the politicians just want to say it&#39;s a recovery. They want<br />to burry the bad stuff and look at only the good stuff. Real jerks. There<br />are a lot of people out there hurting. Some people have loss jobs, homes and assets. It&#39;s be going on since at least 2006 or 2005.</p>
<p>The jerks are saying it&#39;s a recovery, it&#39;s a recovery.-All I can see is a recovery.</p>
<p>Meanwhile there are no jobs today and no jobs in the near future.</p>
<p>The reason why we are here today is that politicians believe they<br />where blind sided. Everyone was trying to them them the truth<br />but they where in denial. Personal bankruptcy spike in 2005. Home<br />foreclosures in 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009. Company and retail forecloses<br />2008 and 2009. Many did not wake up until October 2008. It&#39;s<br />the same thing all over again. Politicians and government officials<br />asleep at the switch and in denial. They won&#39;t wake up until<br />they are swimming in mass poverty in 2010. A major portion of the<br />population is headed toward destitution. Educated people included.<br />Although the decline has slowed the trend in doward.</p>
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		<title>By: A brief note on the fake reform agenda - Credit Writedowns</title>
		<link>http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/06/is-2009-tracking-a-1930-great-depression-scenario.html/comment-page-1#comment-5580</link>
		<dc:creator>A brief note on the fake reform agenda - Credit Writedowns</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 24 Jun 2009 21:09:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/06/is-2009-tracking-a-1930-great-depression-scenario.html#comment-5580</guid>
		<description>[...] graphs on how 2009 is tracking 1930, which I was first in the blogosphere to highlight. (See my post here. Strange how things catch on because I wrote this post on June 14th and the Eichengreen-O’Rourke [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] graphs on how 2009 is tracking 1930, which I was first in the blogosphere to highlight. (See my post here. Strange how things catch on because I wrote this post on June 14th and the Eichengreen-O’Rourke [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Is 2009 tracking a 1930 Great Depression scenario? &#124; Crash Survival Zone</title>
		<link>http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/06/is-2009-tracking-a-1930-great-depression-scenario.html/comment-page-1#comment-5524</link>
		<dc:creator>Is 2009 tracking a 1930 Great Depression scenario? &#124; Crash Survival Zone</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Jun 2009 21:51:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/06/is-2009-tracking-a-1930-great-depression-scenario.html#comment-5524</guid>
		<description>[...] Credit Writedowns [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] Credit Writedowns [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Edward Harrison</title>
		<link>http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/06/is-2009-tracking-a-1930-great-depression-scenario.html/comment-page-1#comment-5661</link>
		<dc:creator>Edward Harrison</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Jun 2009 12:35:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/06/is-2009-tracking-a-1930-great-depression-scenario.html#comment-5661</guid>
		<description>d s a,&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Thanks for stopping by the site.  I agree the Eichengreen stuff is very disturbing given how aggressive the policy response has been post-Lehman.  I am not familiar with the Hall-Ferguson book, but I did look at it over at Amazon.  It might be something to read for later.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;I think its nonsense to say that the job creation and social safety net creation were irrelevant. This is obviously the work of someone with an ideological agenda.  For the record, I am not a fan of FDR and do not view the New Deal as an unmitigated success.  Nevertheless, a balanced view would admit that the creation of infrastructure jobs was a huge boon to those economies (Think &lt;a href=&quot;http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tennessee_Valley_Authority&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Tennesse Valley Authority&lt;/a&gt;)  Even the &lt;a href=&quot;http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hoover_dam&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Hoover Dam&lt;/a&gt;, started under Hoover can be seen in the same light.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;This is what China is doing today and one reason their economy has not fallen off a cliff despite a huge decline in exports to the west.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>d s a,</p>
<p>Thanks for stopping by the site.  I agree the Eichengreen stuff is very disturbing given how aggressive the policy response has been post-Lehman.  I am not familiar with the Hall-Ferguson book, but I did look at it over at Amazon.  It might be something to read for later.</p>
<p>I think its nonsense to say that the job creation and social safety net creation were irrelevant. This is obviously the work of someone with an ideological agenda.  For the record, I am not a fan of FDR and do not view the New Deal as an unmitigated success.  Nevertheless, a balanced view would admit that the creation of infrastructure jobs was a huge boon to those economies (Think <a  href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tennessee_Valley_Authority" rel="nofollow" class="external">Tennesse Valley Authority</a>)  Even the <a  href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hoover_dam" rel="nofollow" class="external">Hoover Dam</a>, started under Hoover can be seen in the same light.</p>
<p>This is what China is doing today and one reason their economy has not fallen off a cliff despite a huge decline in exports to the west.</p>
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		<title>By: d s a</title>
		<link>http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/06/is-2009-tracking-a-1930-great-depression-scenario.html/comment-page-1#comment-5660</link>
		<dc:creator>d s a</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Jun 2009 11:55:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/06/is-2009-tracking-a-1930-great-depression-scenario.html#comment-5660</guid>
		<description>a wonderful and illuminating post, Ed [even if disturbing] - glad yours was recommended by a favorite blogger of mine over at kos - &lt;br&gt;Q:&lt;br&gt;Did I see a recommendation of The Great Depression: An International Disaster of Perverse Economic Policies (Paperback) here?&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;I cannot find this rec if it was here earlier.&lt;br&gt;Follow up Q - &lt;br&gt;on that volume&#039;s summary blurb [over at Amazon] that I find odd:&lt;br&gt;&quot;As for the New Deal, Hall and Ferguson argue that except for deposit insurance and gold policy, most of it was irrelevant or counterproductive and contributed only to slowing the recovery after 1933.&quot;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Can you comment on those authors&#039; apparent view that job creation and a safety net apparently had no measurable value for the economy [as well as for morale] during the G D? my parents - both musicians - were children and teenagers of that era, and had many stories to tell about jobs among their elder siblings&#039; and teachers&#039; generation - that were entirely due to WPA...&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;I realize that I am asking you to comment on writings of other authors but hope you can help parse this out for me. thanks, ed</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>a wonderful and illuminating post, Ed [even if disturbing] &#8211; glad yours was recommended by a favorite blogger of mine over at kos &#8211; <br />Q:<br />Did I see a recommendation of The Great Depression: An International Disaster of Perverse Economic Policies (Paperback) here?</p>
<p>I cannot find this rec if it was here earlier.<br />Follow up Q &#8211; <br />on that volume&#39;s summary blurb [over at Amazon] that I find odd:<br />&#8220;As for the New Deal, Hall and Ferguson argue that except for deposit insurance and gold policy, most of it was irrelevant or counterproductive and contributed only to slowing the recovery after 1933.&#8221;</p>
<p>Can you comment on those authors&#39; apparent view that job creation and a safety net apparently had no measurable value for the economy [as well as for morale] during the G D? my parents &#8211; both musicians &#8211; were children and teenagers of that era, and had many stories to tell about jobs among their elder siblings&#39; and teachers&#39; generation &#8211; that were entirely due to WPA&#8230;</p>
<p>I realize that I am asking you to comment on writings of other authors but hope you can help parse this out for me. thanks, ed</p>
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		<title>By: Edward Harrison</title>
		<link>http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/06/is-2009-tracking-a-1930-great-depression-scenario.html/comment-page-1#comment-5520</link>
		<dc:creator>Edward Harrison</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Jun 2009 11:35:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/06/is-2009-tracking-a-1930-great-depression-scenario.html#comment-5520</guid>
		<description>d s a,&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Thanks for stopping by the site.  I agree the Eichengreen stuff is very disturbing given how aggressive the policy response has been post-Lehman.  I am not familiar with the Hall-Ferguson book, but I did look at it over at Amazon.  It might be something to read for later.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;I think its nonsense to say that the job creation and social safety net creation were irrelevant. This is obviously the work of someone with an ideological agenda.  For the record, I am not a fan of FDR and do not view the New Deal as an unmitigated success.  Nevertheless, a balanced view would admit that the creation of infrastructure jobs was a huge boon to those economies (Think &lt;a href=&quot;http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tennessee_Valley_Authority&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Tennesse Valley Authority&lt;/a&gt;)  Even the &lt;a href=&quot;http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hoover_dam&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Hoover Dam&lt;/a&gt;, started under Hoover can be seen in the same light.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;This is what China is doing today and one reason their economy has not fallen off a cliff despite a huge decline in exports to the west.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>d s a,</p>
<p>Thanks for stopping by the site.  I agree the Eichengreen stuff is very disturbing given how aggressive the policy response has been post-Lehman.  I am not familiar with the Hall-Ferguson book, but I did look at it over at Amazon.  It might be something to read for later.</p>
<p>I think its nonsense to say that the job creation and social safety net creation were irrelevant. This is obviously the work of someone with an ideological agenda.  For the record, I am not a fan of FDR and do not view the New Deal as an unmitigated success.  Nevertheless, a balanced view would admit that the creation of infrastructure jobs was a huge boon to those economies (Think <a  href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tennessee_Valley_Authority" rel="nofollow" class="external">Tennesse Valley Authority</a>)  Even the <a  href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hoover_dam" rel="nofollow" class="external">Hoover Dam</a>, started under Hoover can be seen in the same light.</p>
<p>This is what China is doing today and one reason their economy has not fallen off a cliff despite a huge decline in exports to the west.</p>
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		<title>By: d s a</title>
		<link>http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/06/is-2009-tracking-a-1930-great-depression-scenario.html/comment-page-1#comment-5517</link>
		<dc:creator>d s a</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Jun 2009 10:55:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/06/is-2009-tracking-a-1930-great-depression-scenario.html#comment-5517</guid>
		<description>a wonderful and illuminating post, Ed [even if disturbing] - glad yours was recommended by a favorite blogger of mine over at kos - &lt;br&gt;Q:&lt;br&gt;Did I see a recommendation of The Great Depression: An International Disaster of Perverse Economic Policies (Paperback) here?&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;I cannot find this rec if it was here earlier.&lt;br&gt;Follow up Q - &lt;br&gt;on that volume&#039;s summary blurb [over at Amazon] that I find odd:&lt;br&gt;&quot;As for the New Deal, Hall and Ferguson argue that except for deposit insurance and gold policy, most of it was irrelevant or counterproductive and contributed only to slowing the recovery after 1933.&quot;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Can you comment on those authors&#039; apparent view that job creation and a safety net apparently had no measurable value for the economy [as well as for morale] during the G D? my parents - both musicians - were children and teenagers of that era, and had many stories to tell about jobs among their elder siblings&#039; and teachers&#039; generation - that were entirely due to WPA...&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;I realize that I am asking you to comment on writings of other authors but hope you can help parse this out for me. thanks, ed</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>a wonderful and illuminating post, Ed [even if disturbing] &#8211; glad yours was recommended by a favorite blogger of mine over at kos &#8211; <br />Q:<br />Did I see a recommendation of The Great Depression: An International Disaster of Perverse Economic Policies (Paperback) here?</p>
<p>I cannot find this rec if it was here earlier.<br />Follow up Q &#8211; <br />on that volume&#39;s summary blurb [over at Amazon] that I find odd:<br />&#8220;As for the New Deal, Hall and Ferguson argue that except for deposit insurance and gold policy, most of it was irrelevant or counterproductive and contributed only to slowing the recovery after 1933.&#8221;</p>
<p>Can you comment on those authors&#39; apparent view that job creation and a safety net apparently had no measurable value for the economy [as well as for morale] during the G D? my parents &#8211; both musicians &#8211; were children and teenagers of that era, and had many stories to tell about jobs among their elder siblings&#39; and teachers&#39; generation &#8211; that were entirely due to WPA&#8230;</p>
<p>I realize that I am asking you to comment on writings of other authors but hope you can help parse this out for me. thanks, ed</p>
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		<title>By: Edward Harrison</title>
		<link>http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/06/is-2009-tracking-a-1930-great-depression-scenario.html/comment-page-1#comment-5515</link>
		<dc:creator>Edward Harrison</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Jun 2009 10:14:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/06/is-2009-tracking-a-1930-great-depression-scenario.html#comment-5515</guid>
		<description>Adam, I agree that there are many differences.  Nevertheless, you do point out that there is a lot of downside risk despite the belief that the reflation trade has gained traction.  This is certainly what Munchau is pointing out.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Adam, I agree that there are many differences.  Nevertheless, you do point out that there is a lot of downside risk despite the belief that the reflation trade has gained traction.  This is certainly what Munchau is pointing out.</p>
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		<title>By: Adam Sharp</title>
		<link>http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/06/is-2009-tracking-a-1930-great-depression-scenario.html/comment-page-1#comment-5512</link>
		<dc:creator>Adam Sharp</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Jun 2009 02:45:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/06/is-2009-tracking-a-1930-great-depression-scenario.html#comment-5512</guid>
		<description>Other than similarities in the timeline of events (we could see similarly-timed crashes), I don&#039;t see many similarities between now and 1930s America. If anything, our current situation is much worse. Early in the depression, they were actually letting big things fail and raising taxes. We&#039;re doing the opposite. &lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;The whole thing is an interesting experiment involving countless factors and players... Too many for me to judge concretely. I&#039;m betting on inflation though, cause it seems much more politically doable and likely than the alternatives.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Other than similarities in the timeline of events (we could see similarly-timed crashes), I don&#39;t see many similarities between now and 1930s America. If anything, our current situation is much worse. Early in the depression, they were actually letting big things fail and raising taxes. We&#39;re doing the opposite. </p>
<p>The whole thing is an interesting experiment involving countless factors and players&#8230; Too many for me to judge concretely. I&#39;m betting on inflation though, cause it seems much more politically doable and likely than the alternatives.</p>
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