http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/06/initial-claims-hit-lowest-in-5-months-continuing-claims-hit-record.html a finance news and opinion site Tue, 16 Mar 2010 11:33:34 +0000 hourly 1 http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/06/initial-claims-hit-lowest-in-5-months-continuing-claims-hit-record.html#comment-8498 Edward Harrison Thu, 11 Jun 2009 21:19:05 +0000 http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/06/initial-claims-hit-lowest-in-5-months-continuing-claims-hit-record.html#comment-8498 I define recovery simply as the end of recession as defined by the NBER. In all likelihood, they will not call this until well into 2010. In anticipating their call, we will need to see improvement across four areas: employment, consumption, output, and income. Right now, it is looking like income and consumption may have already bottomed. Since these are leading indicators, we should expect output and employment to follow unless we get an unforeseen large economic shock. I define recovery simply as the end of recession as defined by the NBER. In all likelihood, they will not call this until well into 2010. In anticipating their call, we will need to see improvement across four areas: employment, consumption, output, and income. Right now, it is looking like income and consumption may have already bottomed. Since these are leading indicators, we should expect output and employment to follow unless we get an unforeseen large economic shock.

]]> http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/06/initial-claims-hit-lowest-in-5-months-continuing-claims-hit-record.html#comment-8497 Jake Thu, 11 Jun 2009 20:24:42 +0000 http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/06/initial-claims-hit-lowest-in-5-months-continuing-claims-hit-record.html#comment-8497 Define recovery. Flat GDP, GDP back to the old trend, GDP per capita growing at 2%? Define recovery. Flat GDP, GDP back to the old trend, GDP per capita growing at 2%?

]]> http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/06/initial-claims-hit-lowest-in-5-months-continuing-claims-hit-record.html#comment-5657 Edward Harrison Thu, 11 Jun 2009 15:19:05 +0000 http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/06/initial-claims-hit-lowest-in-5-months-continuing-claims-hit-record.html#comment-5657 I define recovery simply as the end of recession as defined by the NBER. In all likelihood, they will not call this until well into 2010. In anticipating their call, we will need to see improvement across four areas: employment, consumption, output, and income. Right now, it is looking like income and consumption may have already bottomed. Since these are leading indicators, we should expect output and employment to follow unless we get an unforeseen large economic shock. I define recovery simply as the end of recession as defined by the NBER. In all likelihood, they will not call this until well into 2010. In anticipating their call, we will need to see improvement across four areas: employment, consumption, output, and income. Right now, it is looking like income and consumption may have already bottomed. Since these are leading indicators, we should expect output and employment to follow unless we get an unforeseen large economic shock.

]]> http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/06/initial-claims-hit-lowest-in-5-months-continuing-claims-hit-record.html#comment-5656 Jake Thu, 11 Jun 2009 14:24:42 +0000 http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/06/initial-claims-hit-lowest-in-5-months-continuing-claims-hit-record.html#comment-5656 Define recovery. Flat GDP, GDP back to the old trend, GDP per capita growing at 2%? Define recovery. Flat GDP, GDP back to the old trend, GDP per capita growing at 2%?

]]> http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/06/initial-claims-hit-lowest-in-5-months-continuing-claims-hit-record.html#comment-5474 Edward Harrison Thu, 11 Jun 2009 14:19:05 +0000 http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/06/initial-claims-hit-lowest-in-5-months-continuing-claims-hit-record.html#comment-5474 I define recovery simply as the end of recession as defined by the NBER. In all likelihood, they will not call this until well into 2010. In anticipating their call, we will need to see improvement across four areas: employment, consumption, output, and income. Right now, it is looking like income and consumption may have already bottomed. Since these are leading indicators, we should expect output and employment to follow unless we get an unforeseen large economic shock. I define recovery simply as the end of recession as defined by the NBER. In all likelihood, they will not call this until well into 2010. In anticipating their call, we will need to see improvement across four areas: employment, consumption, output, and income. Right now, it is looking like income and consumption may have already bottomed. Since these are leading indicators, we should expect output and employment to follow unless we get an unforeseen large economic shock.

]]> http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/06/initial-claims-hit-lowest-in-5-months-continuing-claims-hit-record.html#comment-5470 Jake Thu, 11 Jun 2009 13:24:42 +0000 http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/06/initial-claims-hit-lowest-in-5-months-continuing-claims-hit-record.html#comment-5470 Define recovery. Flat GDP, GDP back to the old trend, GDP per capita growing at 2%? Define recovery. Flat GDP, GDP back to the old trend, GDP per capita growing at 2%?

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